Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Dec 1, 2026
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
Before Jan 1, 2027
19%
15¢
22¢
$4.55
2.1K
Before Jul 1, 2027
39%
▲ 1
36¢
42¢
$2.38
22.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Holy See ‘deeply concerned’ about threats to nuclear facilitiescatholicculture.org · 7 days agoA leading Vatican diplomat said that the Holy See is “deeply concerned” about the “risks posed to nuclear facilities by armed conflict,” particularly the “ongoing precarious situation at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant and the damage…
How much did the Holy See contribute to the Oleshky ceasefire?The Pillar · 7 days agoPope Leo XIV may be a sports fan, but he doesn’t seem inclined to “spike the football” when it comes to diplomatic accomplishments. In his Angelus address on Nov. 1, the final day of a humanitarian ceasefire in the Ukrainian city of…
Anthropic clamps down on Claude’s AI video game clonesThe Verge · 7 days agoAnthropic is steering Claude away from recreating specific titles, but users can still use it to make their own games. Anthropic has updated Claude Code’s system prompt to prevent the AI tool from being used to recreate existing video…
Bob Dylan meets Pope Leo at the Vatican in a private audienceCBS News · 5 days agoPhotos released by the Vatican show the Minnesota-born singer-songwriter in a black hooded sweatshirt and gloves with Pope Leo XIV, a Chicago native, in the pope’s office. The Vatican didn’t say what they discussed. Bob Dylan meets Pope…
Vatican publishes digital atlas honoring Pope Francis’ ecological visionCBCPNews · 5 days agoPress conference to launch the 5th annual report of the Laudato Si’ Action Platform at the Holy See Press Office in Rome on Nov. 4, 2026. VATICAN NEWS VATICAN — Ten years after the publication of Pope Francis’ encyclical Laudato Si’, the…
Pope Leo receives President of Chile at the VaticanVatican News · 5 days agoVatican News Before his Wednesday General Audience, Pope Leo XIV received the President of the Republic of Chile, José Antonio Kast Rist, in the Apostolic Palace. Following this audience, the President met with Archbishop Paul Richard…
Vatican diplomat calls for protection of civilians, houses of worship in wartimecatholicculture.org · 6 days agoAddressing a meeting on international humanitarian law (IHL), a Vatican diplomat emphasized the law’s importance in wartime. “International humanitarian law forbids hostilities conducted amidst and against civilian population. It is…
Anthropic adds Databricks MLflow for native Claude tracesDeveloper Tech News · 5 days agoAI-Tools, Analytics Engineering, APIs, Build & Ship, Data & Intelligence, Databases, Featured News, Features, Frameworks & Libraries, IDEs & SDKs Anthropic has added Databricks MLflow as a supported destination for native OpenTelemetry…
With God on Their Side: Bob Dylan & Pope Leo XIV Commune at the VaticanBillboard · 5 days agoThe musician is set to play a show at the Palazzo dello Sport in Rome. This week, Bob Dylan is knock, knock, knockin’ on heaven’s door — well, arguably the closest earthly thing to it — with the folk-rock icon meeting Pope Leo XIV at the…
Why Anthropic Stopped Claude From Cloning GamesOpen Magazine · 6 days agoBoth Batman: Arkham Knight and Marvel's Spider-Man Remastered were popular games at the time of their release. Released at the height of the superhero craze in popular culture and made and published by different game developers and…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions