How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
The odds
48%Glenn Jacobs
- Glenn Jacobs48%▼ 1
- Tim Burchett31%▲ 1
- Damon Hininger8%▲ 2
- Bill Lee3%▲ 3
- Andy Ogles2%▲ 2
- Chuck Fleischmann1%
- Cameron Sexton1%▲ 1
- Marsha Blackburn1%
- Stuart McWhorter1%
- Diana Harshbarger1%
- No one1%
How the odds have moved
Glenn Jacobs: 37% on Oct 20, 48% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Jacobs | 48% | ▼ 1 | 46¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 3.5K |
| Tim Burchett | 31% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 3.6K |
| Damon Hininger | 8% | ▲ 2 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 2.0K |
| Bill Lee | 3% | ▲ 3 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 595 | |
| Andy Ogles | 2% | ▲ 2 | 4¢ | $25.00 | 304 | |
| Chuck Fleischmann | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K | ||
| Cameron Sexton | 1% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 295 | |
| Marsha Blackburn | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.8K | ||
| Stuart McWhorter | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 773 | ||
| Diana Harshbarger | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 676 | ||
| No one | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 255 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Marsha Blackburn's Senate, Glenn Jacobs, Tim Burchett
Search ›- Marsha Blackburn Senate Exit—List of Republicans Most Likely To Replace HerNov 06, 2026 at 12:40 PM EST With Republican U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn set to become Tennessee’s governor in January, speculation is already mounting over who could be appointed to her Senate seat. Blackburn defeated her Democratic…
- Hegseth not considered for Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat in TennesseeRepublican gubernatorial candidate Sen. Marsha Blackburn announces her victory during an election night event at The Pinnacle in Nashville on Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026. WASHINGTON — Republican U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee, elected…
- President Trump talks future of Marsha Blackburn's senate seat after midterm electionsNASHVILLE, Tenn. (WZTV) — Marsha Blackburn holds the title of Governor-Elect and Senator (R-TN) at the moment, which means someone will have to fill the remainder of her term in the senate. Rep. Tim Burchett (R-TN) out of East Tennessee…
- Hegseth not being considered for Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat, AP source saysBy By JOEY CAPPELLETTI and KONSTANTIN TOROPIN Hegseth has also surfaced as a potential replacement, with his future uncertain after Republicans' sweeping losses in the midterm elections. But Hegseth is not currently being considered for…
- WWE star, former Knox County Mayor Glenn Jacobs would seriously consider Senate seatNASHVILLE, Tenn. (WZTV) — Former Knox County Mayor Glenn Jacobs said on the “Fox News Rundown” podcast that he would seriously consider an appointment to U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn’s seat if she chose him to replace her. “Yeah, obviously…
- Report: Blackburn Rules Out Hegseth for Senate SeatPeople speculating about who will slide into Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat can apparently cross one name off the list. A source close to Blackburn tells USA Today that... Report: Blackburn Rules Out Hegseth for Senate Seat People…
- Hegseth out of running for open Tennessee U.S. Senate seatDespite behind-the-scenes interest and campaigning from Hegseth, a source familiar with the private discussions dismissed the rumors as "baseless chatter," noting that Blackburn remains focused on her transition to the governor's mansion…
- “WE ARE CROOKED AS A DOG’S LEG!” Rep. Tim Burchett TORCHES Congress After GOP Midterm Disaster, Blames Diesel Price Gouging by Oil Giants and Fake Stock Trading “Ban”Tennessee Republican Rep. Tim Burchett, fresh off his own reelection victory in the state’s 2nd District, did not sugarcoat what happened to the broader Republican Party in the 2026 midterms. In a blunt post-election video, the…
- Hegseth not in consideration for Senate seat as firing rumors swirlImperiled Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth is reportedly not being considered to replace Tennessee Gov-elect Marsha Blackburn for her open Senate seat, as rumors swirl that he will be fired from his current role. The person insisted that…
- Tim Burchett reelected to Tennessee’s second congressional districtThe race was called Tuesday evening with 88% of the votes in, with Burchett earning 56.3% of the vote at the time of calling. Running against him was Democratic candidate Micheala Barnett, along with independent candidates Bruce Fine and…
- I'm expecting a 'full-court press' from new Democrats: GOP lawmakerFox News I'm expecting a 'full-court press' from new Democrats: GOP lawmaker Rep. Tim Burchett, R-Tenn., discusses the possibility of newly-elected Democrats pursuing impeachment proceedings against President Donald Trump on 'The Will Cain…
- REPORT: WWE Icon Emerges as Favorite to Replace Tennessee’s Marsha Blackburn in U.S. SenateWWE legend Glenn Jacobs, better known to millions of wrestling fans as Kane, has reportedly emerged as the favorite to replace Sen. Marsha Blackburn in the U.S. Senate after her election as governor of Tennessee. Jacobs, who recently…
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