Install
Will the blue slip process be removed?
The odds
- Before Jan 1, 202714%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202832%
- Before Jan 1, 202940%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 14% on Oct 20, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 3.2K |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 32% | 31¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 2.1K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 40% | ▼ 1 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 810 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate Judiciary Committee, U.S.-attorney
Search ›- Judge wants former U.S. attorney to investigate whether the government misled her in Trump golf caseJessie Liu, a former U.S. attorney for the District of Columbia, would examine whether officials with the Interior Department and the National Park Service and attorneys with the Department of Justice violated ethics or misled U.S…
- MPAC and Bend the Arc: Jewish Action Urge Senate Judiciary Committee to Oppose the Right to Worship Act Ahead of Tuesday VoteWashington, D.C. | www.mpac.org | November 5, 2026 — The Muslim Public Affairs Council (MPAC) and Bend the Arc: Jewish Action are renewing our call for Congress to oppose S. 5289, the Right to Worship Act, ahead of the Senate Judiciary…
- U.S. attorney for Southern District of Florida Jason Reding Quiñones resignsCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. U.S. attorney for…
- U.S. Attorney Essayli Blasts Incoming L.A. Mayor for Defending Violent Mob Against ICEBy Krystal Stirling November 8, 2026 Incoming Los Angeles Mayor Nithya Raman, a socialist councilwoman, is drawing fierce criticism for defending violent and illegal conduct directed at federal immigration officers. Bill Essayli, first…
- U.S. Attorney Who Oversaw Centerpiece of Trump's Revenge Campaign ResignsWASHINGTON -- The U.S. attorney who had overseen a centerpiece of President Donald Trump's retribution campaign, the so-called grand conspiracy inquiry of Obama-era officials, has resigned amid growing dissatisfaction with his performance…
- U.S. attorney overseeing Trump conspiracy probe resignsFriday, November 6, 2026 77° Today's Paper By Devlin Barrett, Glenn Thrush and Alan Feuer / New York Times JEFFERSON SIEGEL/THE NEW YORK TIMES Jason A. Reding Quiñones, the U.S. attorney in Miami, speaks during a press conference in New…
- Trump's lead for the U.S. Attorney's Office in Miami resignsThe U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida Jason Reding Quiñones has resigned from the Department of Justice. Quiñones was nominated by President Donald Trump to lead the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Miami last year. In a post on…
- 2 Justice Department officials resign, including U.S. attorney who oversaw 'grand conspiracy' probeWASHINGTON — The top federal prosecutor in Miami who had been tasked with overseeing an investigation into foes of President Trump has resigned, joining other high-profile Justice Department officials departing in the wake of the midterm…
- U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida Jason Reding Quiñones resignsWPLG Local 10 Attorney for the Southern District of Florida Jason Reding Quiñones has resigned from the Department of Justice, Attorney General Todd Blanche announced on Friday Attorney General Pam Bondi swore in U.S 13, 2025, in Miami…
- U.S. Attorney whose office oversaw Trump's election conspiracy probe resignsPublished - November 06, 2026 08:49 pm IST - WASHINGTON U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida Jason Reding Quiñones, whose office oversaw U.S. President Donald Trump’s election conspiracy probe, has resigned, Attorney…
- U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida, Jason Quinones, Resigns Effective ImmediatelyJason Quinones the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida, has delivered his resignation notice to U.S. Attorney General Todd Blanche, effective immediately. Quinones was responsible for “investigating” the larger Russiagate…
- U.S. Attorney Jason Reding Quiñones, who secured indictment of Raúl Castro, resignsJason Reding Quiñones, the U.S. attorney for the Southern District of Florida, has resigned effective Friday. "We are grateful for Jason’s leadership in combatting violent crime, drug trafficking, sex trafficking, and transnational crime…
Related markets
All congress ›Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before 2027)
- Before Nov 14, 202691%▲ 10
- Before Nov 21, 202692%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202793%▼ 1
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
Will a cabinet member be impeached? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
- Before Jan 1, 202779%▲ 8
- Before Apr 1, 202793%▲ 13
- Before Jul 1, 202794%▲ 11
3 more
- Before Oct 1, 202794%▲ 5
- Before Jan 1, 202894%▲ 6
- Before Jan 20, 202994%▲ 2
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions