The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 10, 2027
4%
2¢
5¢
$20.00
1.5K
Before Mar 1, 2027
8%
5¢
10¢
$10.00
7.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Brazil Bank Fraud Probe Awaits ProsecutorsThe Rio Times · 3 days agoBrazil · Banco Master Case Brazil’s Supreme Court president has sent the Federal Police’s latest requests in the Banco Master fraud case to prosecutors and given them 15 days to answer. Edson Fachin, president of Brazil’s Supreme Federal…
Fresh off shock reelection, Brazil President Lula to join ASEAN Summit in ManilaRAPPLER · 3 days agoLEADER. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva speaks as he attends a meeting of the National Council for Critical and Strategic Minerals (CIMCE), at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, on November 5, 2026. MANILA, Philippines…
Flávio Bolsonaro Says Trump Doubts Brazil DemocracyThe Rio Times · 44 h agoFlávio Bolsonaro, the senator who lost Brazil’s presidential runoff to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, said on Saturday 7 November 2026 that Donald Trump is “convinced that Brazil is no longer a full democracy”. He made the remark in…
Trump ‘convinced’ Brazil no longer democracyThe Guam Daily Post · 45 h agoBRASILEIRO: Flávio Bolsonaro, Brazil's right-wing candidate who recently lost in his bid for the presidency, poses for a portrait in Aventura, Fla., on Thursday. Saul Martinez/For The Washington Post AVENTURA, Fla. - Flávio Bolsonaro was…
Brazil wants its share of the industry that the West is taking away from ChinaTomorrow's Affairs · 3 days agoOn 5 November, Brazil’s government adopted a list of 27 minerals that it considers vital to the country’s economy and security, and which will receive priority in state support. At the top of the list are rare earths, a group of 17…
Austerity Is Now the Central Conflict in Brazilian PoliticsJacobin · 3 days agoLula da Silva beat Flávio Bolsonaro to win a fourth term as Brazil’s president. Political scientist André Singer says the hardest fight is still ahead: Brazil’s bourgeoisie wants harsh austerity, and Lula’s coalition is split over it. Lula…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions