Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
15%
▲ 1
13¢
17¢
$5.88
6.1K
Before Jan 1, 2028
53%
▼ 1
50¢
55¢
$1.82
9.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Weapon or wine bottle? China disputes reports of artillery shell in Papua New GuineaBBC News · 6 days agoChinese authorities have dismissed reports that a suspected China-made artillery shell was found in a commercial shipping container in Papua New Guinea, saying it is a "shell-shaped wine bottle". "It poses no danger at all," the Chinese…
Papua New Guinea to introduce mobile number portability within 24 monthsTelecompaper · 6 days agoPapua New Guinea's National Information and Communication Technology Authority (NICTA) is preparing to introduce mobile number portability (MNP) after the minister for information and communication technology, Robert Naguri, accepted all…
Pray for Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands TerritorySalvos Online · 7 days agoThis week (2-8 November), the Australia Territory is joining the global Salvation Army in praying for the Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands Territory. This territory has 358 officers (346 active, 12 retired), four Aux-Captains, 10…
Papua New Guinea’s voluntary digital ID is becoming harder to avoidCompanies and Explainers · 6 days agoWhen the Papua New Guinea cabinet approved the National Digital Identity Policy 2025 late last year it set out fundamental guidelines. When launching the policy, acting minister for ICT Peter Tsiamalili Jr. hailed it as a transformative…
Digicel Activates First Shared Tower with Vodafone in Papua New GuineaRetailNews Asia · 7 days agoDigicel PNG switched on commercial network equipment on a Vodafone PNG tower in Minj, completing the first live co-location under their September sharing pact. The installation in Jiwaka Province anchors a push to trim capital expenditure…
ExxonMobil urged to re-think Papua New Guinea gas projectMacau Business · 7 days agoOne of the world’s rarest bats could be at risk if ExxonMobil forges ahead with a Papua New Guinea gas project, a law firm working with impacted landowners warned Monday. The US-based energy giant struck a deal last month to take control…
Digicel and Vodafone activate first shared tower in Papua New GuineaDeveloping Telecoms · 7 days agoPapua New Guinean telco Digicel PNG announced on Tuesday it has successfully activated its network service on a Vodafone PNG tower under a tower and infrastructure sharing agreement signed by both telcos last month. Digicel said the tower…
Digicel, Vodafone Activate First Shared Tower in Papua New GuineaTelecom Review Asia · 8 days agoDigicel PNG activates its services on a Vodafone PNG tower in Minj, marking the first milestone in their infrastructure-sharing agreement to expand connectivity across Papua New Guinea. Digicel PNG has activated its network services on a…
Papua New Guinea Human Rights Record Under ReviewMirage News · 8 days agoGENEVA - The human rights record of Papua New Guinea will be examined by the United Nations Human Rights Council's Universal Periodic Review (UPR) Working Group for the fourth time on Wednesday 4 November 2026, 14:30-18:00 (GMT+1), in a…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions