Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
41%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%41%
- Falls to 6.5%9%
- Falls to 6.25%5%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
Install
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
The odds
50%Above 1,700 units
8001,850
How the odds have moved
Above 950 units: 98% on Oct 20, 98% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 950 units | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 11.1K | |
| Above 1,100 units | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 7.9K | |
| Above 1,250 units | 93% | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 19.0K | |
| Above 1,400 units | 88% | 87¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 29.9K | |
| Above 1,550 units | 55% | ▼ 2 | 54¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 1.2K |
| Above 1,700 units | 50% | 29¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 15.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bozeman-area
Search ›- KBZK Bozeman Area Weather: A few showers Saturday, but more likely on SundayClouds streamed northward over much of Montana on Friday, and in many areas that limited highs to the 30s and 40s. We'll have a few showers on Saturday, but better rain and snow chances arrive Sunday. BOZEMAN — Clouds continued to stream…
- KBZK Bozeman Area Weather: Waiting till the weekend for rain or snowWe stay dry and quiet through Friday, then a Pacific system moves in this weekend. Showers arrive Saturday afternoon, followed by a more significant push of rain Sunday with rain chances near 80%. BOZEMAN — Conditions are quiet and settled…
- KBZK Bozeman Area Weather: Quite mild on Thursday, then rapid changes on FridayHigh pressure brought warmer-than-average weather to southwest Montana on Wednesday. Isolated showers formed in the afternoon, but little rain fell. Thursday will be warmer, with a cold front Friday. High pressure continued to deliver more…
- KBZK Bozeman Area Weather: Partly cloudy and quite mild for October on WednesdayKBZK News A ridge of high pressure continued to deliver milder than average weather to southwest Montana on Tuesday, and it hasn't given up the ghost just yet Although a few showers are trying to occur to our south in Idaho, we'll stay…
- Bozeman area runners overcome slippery conditions in final tune up for state meet at Gallatin Valley InvitationalAs runners crossed the finish line Thursday on the athletic fields at Gallatin High School, the same topic of discussion arose. A saturated and slick course made it nearly impossible to approach a personal best. Milo Kauffman helped the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions