Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

Kalshi Economy › Growth & recession Closes Dec 2 · $2 today · $739 traded · $653 at stake · prices read 77 min ago

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The odds

40%Above 1.0%
0.9%2.4%

How the odds have moved

Above 1.0%: 31% on Oct 10, 40% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 20, 12 AM ETAbove 1.0%: 44% → 36%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 1.0% 40% ▲ 1 36¢ 43¢ $2.33 722
Above 1.1% 36% 31¢ 40¢ $2.50 45.00
Above 1.2% 32% ▲ 1 27¢ 36¢ $2.78
Above 1.3% 30% 25¢ 34¢ $2.94
Above 1.4% 24% 20¢ 28¢ $3.57 877
Above 1.5% 21% ▲ 1 16¢ 25¢ $4.00 237
Above 1.6% 17% 12¢ 21¢ $4.76 244
Above 1.7% 14% 9¢ 18¢ $5.56 487
Above 1.8% 11% ▲ 2 7¢ 15¢ $6.67 282
Above 1.9% 9% 4¢ 13¢ $7.69
Above 2.0% 7% 2¢ 11¢ $9.09 300
Above 2.1% 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 200
Above 2.2% 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
Above 2.3% 3% 5¢ $20.00 500

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: GDP, economic growth, Brazil GDP

Search ›
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  • Job Creation and Economic Growthandrewbragg.com · 7 days agoFollow Senator Bragg on your preferred social media platform Watch Senator Bragg's first speech to parliament Our campaign is dedicated to creating jobs and fostering economic growth across Australia. We understand the importance of a…
  • Sanusi, Peterside demand 10% economic growth to lift Nigerians out of povertyTribune Online · 6 days agoThe Emir of Kano, Muhammadu Sanusi II, and businessman Atedo Peterside have called on the Federal Government to target 10 per cent economic growth to lift Nigerians out of poverty, create jobs and improve living standards. They warned that…
  • Jakarta seeks stronger investment to drive economic growthAntara News · 7 days agoANTARA News Jakarta seeks stronger investment to drive economic growth Translator: Lifia Mawaddah Putri, Yashinta Difa
  • Malaysia's manufacturing sector to support economic growth in 4Q26The Star · 6 days agoKUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia’s manufacturing sector is expected to continue supporting industrial production and overall economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2026 (4Q 2026), according to MBSB Investment Bank Bhd (MBSB IB). In a note today…
  • India's Economic Growth Resilient Amidst Global ChallengesIndiaNewsNetwork · 6 days agoIndian Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Tuesday stated that the country's economic growth continues to thrive despite ongoing challenges in the West Asian region. He underscored that comprehensive investments in clean energy have played a…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions