Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Sep 1, 2026
1%
$100.00
8.2K
Before Jan 1, 2027
3%
▲ 2
2¢
8¢
$12.50
13.2K
Before Apr 1, 2027
3%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
8.8K
Before Jul 1, 2027
14%
11¢
17¢
$5.88
6.5K
Before Oct 1, 2027
29%
▲ 1
26¢
32¢
$3.13
5.3K
Before Jan 1, 2028
42%
39¢
44¢
$2.27
6.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Andy Burnham to unveil EU trade deals worth billions of poundsthe Guardian · 6 days agoAgriculture, youth visas and emissions agreements nearly tied up under PM’s plan for a much closer relationship with Brussels The UK-EU food produce deal: what was agreed and will it affect shoppers? Andy Burnham is preparing to announce…
A response to Andy Burnham: We need an apology and reparationsAl Jazeera · 7 days agoIt is good news the British PM is open to calls for an apology for slavery. But debt restructuring instead of reparations won’t do. I read with interest the recent news that United Kingdom Prime Minister Andy Burnham is now open to calls…
Why is Andy Burnham not at Prime Minister's Questions today?The National · 6 days agoANDY Burnham did not appear at Prime Minister’s Questions today, with his deputy Louise Haigh filling in. The First Secretary of State fielded questions from MPs on Wednesday in her first outing at the despatch box in the PM’s stead. The…
No10 defends flight to Manchester to collect Andy BurnhamBBC News · 7 days agoAndy Burnham and his wife took the plane to the United Nations in the US in September Downing Street has defended sending the official UK government plane to Manchester to pick up Andy Burnham, rather than the prime minister travelling to…
On Brexit, Andy Burnham could do worse than follow the lead of Periclesthe Guardian · 6 days agoThe Athenian led the people, he didn’t follow them, writes Prof Costas MilasYour editorial (The Guardian view on a changing Brexit debate: Kemi Badenoch is trapped in denial, 29 October) notes that when it comes to Brexit, Andy Burnham…
Prime Minister Andy Burnham: ‘Local journalism is vital to holding power to account’Fenland Citizen · 6 days agoPrime Minister Andy Burnham has hailed local journalism as a vital part of the country's democracy, praising reporters who hold those in power to account and give communities a voice. Mr Burnham said independent journalism should be…
Trump JOKES about becoming Israeli prime ministerFox News · 6 days agoFox News Trump JOKES about becoming Israeli prime minister President Donald Trump joked about his approval rating in Israel, suggesting he could becoming the next prime minister.
Andy Burnham at Prime Minister’s Questions: what’s he doing differently?The Conversation · 7 days agoBurnham laid out this ambition in his first speech as prime minister outside Downing Street. But one major challenge to this new ethos is the Punch and Judy show that is Prime Minister’s Questions (PMQs). My research explores the dynamics…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions