CA-04 House winner? (2026)
96%Eric Jones
- Eric Jones96%▲ 2
- Mike Thompson4%▼ 1
Install
CA-07 House winner? (2026)
The odds
98%Doris Matsui
- Doris Matsui98%▲ 1
- Mai Vang2%
How the odds have moved
Doris Matsui: 64% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 2, 11 PM ETDoris Matsui: 65% → 77%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doris Matsui | 98% | ▲ 1 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 269.8K |
| Mai Vang | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 249.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Doris Matsui, Mai Vang
Search ›- Doris Matsui defends lead over Mai Vang in Sacramento-area race for CongressElections officials dropped the latest results in the closely-watched race on Friday. Published on November 6, 2026 Doris Matsui and Mai Vang speak at their respective election night parties on Nov. 3, 2026, in Sacramento, California. U.S…
- Rep. Doris Matsui leads Mai Vang in early returns for CA-7 raceCBS News Rep. Doris Matsui leads Mai Vang in early returns for CA-7 race Latest on California Propositions 3, 39 and 40 resuls in midterms Steve Hilton addresses crowd after CBS News projects Xavier Becerra next California governor Xavier…
- Mai Vang closes gap on Rep. Doris Matsui in Sacramento race for CongressSacramento County’s election update on Friday afternoon narrowed the gap between Rep. Doris Matsui, D-Sacramento, and challenger Mai Vang, but the incumbent is still on track to retain the seat. Despite the closer margin, Matsui will…
- Doris Matsui faces Mai Vang in California's 7th Congressional District raceNovember 3, 2026 / 6:38 AM PST / CBS Sacramento Democratic Rep. Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang, a fellow Democrat, are facing off Tuesday in California's 7th Congressional District election. Matsui is seeking…
- Longtime Sacramento Congresswoman Doris Matsui faces serious re-election challenge for 1st time in elected careerMay 20, 2026 / 12:19 PM PDT / CBS Sacramento Longtime Congresswoman Doris Matsui is facing a real challenge for the first time in her elected career, as Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang is running for California's 7th Congressional…
- Diwali's status as a California state holiday in limbo after lawsuit challenging its implementationCBS News Diwali's status as a California state holiday in limbo after lawsuit challenging its implementation Sites Reservoir clears final hurdle to begin construction in Northern California Latest on Newsom commuting all California Death…
- Thursday evening Northern California weather forecast - November 5, 2026CBS News Thursday evening Northern California weather forecast - November 5, 2026 Diwali's status as a California state holiday in limbo after lawsuit challenging its implementation Major injury crash closes northbound Highway 99 for hours…
- Latest on Newsom commuting all California Death Row sentencesCBS News Latest on Newsom commuting all California Death Row sentences Sites Reservoir clears final hurdle to begin construction in Northern California Northern California comes together to celebrate Diwali Thursday evening Northern…
- Sites Reservoir clears final hurdle to begin construction in Northern CaliforniaCBS News Sites Reservoir clears final hurdle to begin construction in Northern California Latest on Newsom commuting all California Death Row sentences Northern California comes together to celebrate Diwali Thursday evening Northern…
- Northern California comes together to celebrate DiwaliCBS News Northern California comes together to celebrate Diwali Sites Reservoir clears final hurdle to begin construction in Northern California Latest on Newsom commuting all California Death Row sentences Thursday evening Northern…
- Stockton Thunder return with new team, familiar nameCBS News Stockton Thunder return with new team, familiar name Thursday midday Northern California weather forecast - November 5, 2026 Governor Gavin Newsom commutes sentences for everyone on Death Row in California Old Sacramento getting…
- Thursday midday Northern California weather forecast - November 5, 2026CBS News Thursday midday Northern California weather forecast - November 5, 2026 Governor Gavin Newsom commutes sentences for everyone on Death Row in California Stockton Thunder return with new team, familiar name Old Sacramento getting…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions