Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
49%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%49%
- Falls to 6.5%9%
- Falls to 6.25%5%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
Install
Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
The odds
35%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 35% on Oct 20, 35% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35% | 34¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 31.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California
Search ›- JD Vance: Texas will not become CaliforniaFox News correspondent Brooke Taylor reports on Vice President JD Vance’s message to Texas voters ahead of Election Day on ‘The Story.’ ... JD Vance: Texas will not become California Fox News correspondent Brooke Taylor reports on Vice…
- Shriners Children's Northern California pumpkin surgery!Every year, Shriners Children's Northern California makes Halloween and surgery a little less scary with a fun pumpkin surgery activity. Shriners Children's Northern California pumpkin surgery! Halloween fun at a Haunted Car Wash! We chat…
- Happy Halloween! SpaceX launches 27 Starlink satellites to orbit from CaliforniaIt was the 118th Falcon 9 launch of the year so far. A Falcon 9 rocket lifted off from Vandenberg Space Force Base today (Oct. 31) at 12:04 a.m. EDT (0404 GMT; 9:04 p.m. on Oct. 30 local time), sending 27 of the company's Starlink internet…
- California hospital chain scraps $1B expansion amid red tape nightmareA Sacramento health care giant abruptly scrapped a $1 billion Bay Area expansion Friday, blaming red tape and dealing a crushing blow to the local economy. Sutter Health will no longer pursue building a hospital in Emeryville, citing…
- Call to Scrap California High-Speed Rail Project After Latest SetbackOct 30, 2026 at 02:31 PM EDT The resignation of the CEO of the California High-Speed Rail Authority after a two-year run plagued by an expenses scandal, spiraling costs and project delays has prompted a renewed focus on the future of the…
- California's ban on most flavored tobacco effective WednesdayDecember 21, 2022 / 11:20 AM PST / CBS LA Don't be surprised if you won't be able to buy your favorite flavored vape at your local smoke shop today. The law was reaffirmed when the United States Supreme Court refused a request from tobacco…
- California bullet train CEO quits as $231B project faces spending scandalCalifornia's high speed rail project faces ballooning estimates reaching $231 billion as the chief executive officer resigns amid improper travel spending audits. 'The Big Money Show' analyzes the Golden State's government spending and…
- California police investigate deadly shooting at Spirit Halloween storeOne person was killed and six others wounded in a shooting at a Spirit Halloween store in Fairfield, California, Friday night. At least three victims are in critical condition. One person was killed and at least six others were injured in…
- California housing market remains brutal nightmare for buyers — it gets worse for ordinary familiesCalifornia’s housing market remains a brutal nightmare for buyers, with ordinary families needing a staggering $228,000 annual income just to afford a typical home. A measly 19% of households could afford a median-priced, existing…
- California grocery store closing after 57-year runAnother Northern California grocery staple is emptying out its aisles. Safeway is pulling the plug on a long-running supermarket on Bollinger Road in West San Jose, locking the doors for good around Nov. 14 after nearly six decades in…
- Court rejects DOJ effort to block 20,000 California votesA federal appeals court has rejected the Trump administration’s latest bid to block California election officials from processing more than 20,000 ballots flagged by the Justice Department over suspected noncitizen voters. The 9th Circuit…
- California Halloween Store Mass Shooting Leaves 1 Dead, 6 InjuredOct 31, 2026 at 04:45 AM EDT A mass shooting at a Spirit Halloween store in Fairfield, California, left one person dead and six injured on Friday evening, police said. Fairfield Police said they responded to the incident at Solano Town…
Related markets
All housing ›US existing home sales for October (October 2026)
3.80median
3.504.40
Median 3.80Middle half 3.73 – 3.89
US existing home · Median sales price in October (October 2026)
$416,410median
$390,000$440,000
Median $416,410Middle half $412,500 – $419,615
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
$3,999median
$3,700$4,600
Median $3,999Middle half $3,933 – $4,088
US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report (Nov 11, 2026)
1%median
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Median 1%Middle half -1.94% – 4.09%
US new home · Sales in October (October 2026)
670,370median
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions