Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%▲ 1
- Richmond, CA64%▲ 1
- Boulder, CO59%▲ 1
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%▲ 1
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
Install
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
The odds
55%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 61% on Oct 20, 55% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55% | 54¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 27.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California
Search ›- Proposition 43 rejected by California voters, AP projectsUpdated on: November 8, 2026 / 3:27 PM PST / CBS LA California voters have rejected Proposition 43, the ballot measure aimed at making it harder to enact local tax measures, AP projects. Prop 43 would have made it harder to increase local…
- Voters elect Jane Kim for California insurance commissioner, AP projectsNovember 8, 2026 / 11:20 AM PST / CBS San Francisco As insurance commissioner, Kim will lead the California Department of Insurance in regulating insurance companies, enforcing state laws and responding to consumer complaints. Kim is a…
- California voters approve Proposition 43, making it harder to increase local taxes, AP projectsNovember 8, 2026 / 3:24 PM PST / CBS LA California voters have passed Proposition 43, a ballot measure aimed at making it harder to enact local tax measures, AP projects. The newly approved Prop 43 will raise the voting threshold to…
- Newsom defends California death row commutations amid backlashCriminal defense attorney Josh Ritter joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to analyze the legal battles in the Alaska Senate race and California Gov. Gavin Newsom's decision to empty the state's death row, ending sentences for over 500 inmates…
- Thousands descend on California park for Elizabeth Holmes lookalike tournamentBig crowds attended a bizarre lookalike competition in San Francisco on Saturday, where contestants attempted to channel convicted fraudster Elizabeth Holmes and comedian filmmaker Nathan Fielder. The unusual gathering took over Lafayette…
- California airport sparks online frenzy with peculiar hardware auctionOakland International Airport is giving bargain hunters a chance to live out their airport-ramp fantasies — if they have a bit of cash. More than a dozen pint-sized electric tractors, normally used to haul luggage carts and cargo around…
- California faces one-two punch as voters reject wealth tax and billionaires eye exitsWayne Winegarden, an economist at the Pacific Research Institute, said the measure’s defeat may halt further departures tied to wealth taxes, though California could keep losing residents as its competitive edge erodes. California voters…
- Moment hot air balloon crash lands in sleepy California neighborhoodA hot air balloon made an emergency landing in the backyard of a California home on Saturday. Menifee resident Maryam Dandan captured the bright blue balloon, decorated with gold stars and a crescent moon, as it drifted toward the ground…
- Human remains found at California fireworks warehouse explosion site, officials sayUpdated on: July 5, 2025 / 10:11 PM PDT / CBS Sacramento Authorities say human remains have been found after the Tuesday explosion and fire at a fireworks warehouse in the Northern California community of Esparto. On Friday, Yolo County…
- Preliminary 2.4 magnitude earthquake jolts Southern CaliforniaA small earthquake rattled the San Fernando Valley Saturday morning, shaking residents across several communities. A small earthquake rattled the San Fernando Valley Saturday morning, shaking residents across several communities. The…
- Every player from California to play for the Brooklyn Nets - Corey GainesThe Brooklyn Nets have signed, drafted, and traded for players from virtually every state in the US, and much of the wider world beyond the United States. From Alabama to Wyoming, and from Australia to Ukraine, the Nets have a long and…
- Reagan and Trump did things that were difficult, but necessary: California Post opinion editorCalifornia Post opinion editor Joel Pollak describes what President Donald Trump has accomplished in office and how some of his decisions have provoked opposition on 'Life, Liberty & Levin.' ... Reagan and Trump did things that were…
Related markets
All states & cities ›Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
57%Wisconsin
- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
2 more
- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
8%Larry Page
- Larry Page8%▲ 3
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
- Peter Thiel4%
- Marc Andreessen4%
- Jensen Huang4%
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?
48%Denver
- Denver48%▲ 1
- Boston26%▲ 1
- Philadelphia24%▲ 1
2 more
- Atlanta3%
- Chicago2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions