How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.4
Install
Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
The odds
Jul 21, 2028even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202713%▲ 2
- Before Jul 1, 202728%▼ 3
- Before Jan 1, 202845%▼ 3
- Before Jan 20, 202955%▼ 3
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 14% on Oct 20, 13% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 13% | ▲ 2 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 103.8K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 28% | ▼ 3 | 25¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 4.9K |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 45% | ▼ 3 | 43¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 10.0K |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 55% | ▼ 3 | 53¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 4.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: impeachment
Search ›- Trump defends Hegseth amid impeachment threatFox News Trump defends Hegseth amid impeachment threat Fox News White House correspondent Aishah Hasnie reports on first lady Melania Trump's role in helping broker a partial Russia-Ukraine humanitarian ceasefire and impeachment threats…
- Trump DISMISSES impeachment concerns after Dem winsFox News Trump DISMISSES impeachment concerns after Dem wins President Donald Trump dismissed impeachment concerns while speaking to reporters, saying the move would 'destroy' the Democratic Party.
- Impeaching Trump is 'not our priority,' says Democratic rep-electNBC News Impeaching Trump is 'not our priority,' says Democratic rep-elect Scott Colom blasts Democrats for not investing more in Mississippi 'Blue arrows everywhere': How Trump's 2024 coalition shifted in 2026 'Extinction-level event'…
- Jeffries Says Democrats Focused on Affordability, Not Impeaching TrumpNewsweek - Global Iran WarRussia-UkraineMiddle EastChina And AsiaLive BlogBetter PlanetAll World News Planes Targeted by Bomb Threats Across Europe, Samuel Alito Miscalculation, US Embassy Issues France Travel Warning: The Bulletin, Nov. 5…
- Pete Hegseth Impeachment Increasingly Likely as Trump Rules Out FiringNov 04, 2026 at 08:03 PM EST Nov 05, 2026 at 05:36 AM EST Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is facing mounting calls for impeachment following Republicans' bruising midterm election losses Tuesday, with Representative Thomas Massie, a…
- Hegseth defiant amid impeachment threatNBC News Good News: Walk-on football player awarded scholarship Hero security guard confronts gunman Urgent rescues during flash flood emergency Russell Brand found guilty of rape and sexual assault Hegseth defiant amid impeachment threat…
- Donalds says he won't vote to impeach Hegseth before he leaves CongressDonalds says he won’t vote to impeach Hegseth before he leaves Congress CNN Donalds says he won’t vote to impeach Hegseth before he leaves Congress Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds told CNN's Dana Bash he won't vote to impeach Pete…
- Trump Declares Oval Office National Monument, Democrats Eye Impeachment Push, FBI Grocery Stores Warning: The Bulletin, Nov. 6Newsweek - Global Iran WarRussia-UkraineMiddle EastChina And AsiaLive BlogBetter PlanetAll World News President Donald Trump designated the Oval Office, Outer Oval Office and Cabinet Room as a national monument Thursday, seeking to…
- Clyburn says Hegseth and RFK Jr. should be impeachedCNN Clyburn says Hegseth and RFK Jr. should be impeached Democratic Rep. James Clyburn tells CNN's Pamela Brown that Congress should impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. but…
- Democrats deny impeachment plans as GOP sounds alarmFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on post-midterm calls from several Democrats to investigate President Donald Trump and his administration on ‘Hannity.’ Democrats deny impeachment plans as GOP sounds alarm…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions