Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
9%
7¢
11¢
$9.09
150.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump Softens on Canada as Economy Looms Large Over MidtermsNewsweek · 7 days agoNov 02, 2026 at 10:19 AM EST President Donald Trump appeared to adopt a more conciliatory tone toward Canada as the two countries say they will hold trade negotiations. The discussion comes as U.S. economic concerns have played a key role…
Canada’s PM says he can wait out Trump’s trade warPOLITICO · 7 days ago10/30/2026 07:41 PM EDT 11/02/26 05:00 AM EST 11/01/26 06:00 AM EST 10/30/26 10:02 PM EDT 10/30/26 07:41 PM EDT 10/30/26 05:00 AM EDT 10/29/26 11:59 PM EDT 10/26/26 05:00 AM EDT 10/22/26 11:59 PM EDT
Is a post-midterm deal with Canada possible?semafor.com · 7 days agoTrade watchers are waiting for Tuesday’s elections to pass to ascertain whether a US-Canada deal is actually imminent. President Donald Trump’s repeated insistence that a deal is close “matters for a couple of key states” like Michigan…
Canadian-born dentist freed after judge rules ICE detention lacked legal basisCBS News · 7 days agoNovember 2, 2026 / 11:04 AM CST / CBS Minnesota A Canadian-born dentist detained by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement during a green card interview is home in Minnesota after a judge ordered his release and found his constitutional…
Mao Shimada of Japan wins Skate Canada InternationalYahoo Sports · 8 days agoYahoo Sports - Mao Shimada of Japan wins Skate Canada International Skate Canada Figure Skating Japan's Shimada wins Skate Canada in Grand Prix debut France's Aymoz wins Skate Canada men's crown Japan Names 2026 Women's World Championship…
Mark Carney says US, Canada teams will work on trade deal in ‘coming weeks’POLITICO · 8 days agoThe Canadian prime minister cited recent “constructive discussions” with Trump around a potential deal. Prime Minister Mark Carney's office confirmed that the prime minister spoke to President Donald Trump by phone Saturday. | Evan…
4 Americans and 1 Canadian among the 69 dead in Spain’s train collisionNew York Post · 7 days agoFour Americans and one Canadian were among the 69 people killed in last week’s high-speed train collision in Spain, authorities said. So far, 66 of the dead have been identified, authorities said late Sunday. Most of those killed — 54 of…
Japan's Shimada wins Skate Canada in Grand Prix debutYahoo Sports · 8 days agoJapanese teenage sensation Mao Shimada won the Skate Canada women's title on her senior Grand Prix debut Sunday, living up to sky-high expectations by comfortably topping the free skate. The four-time Junior Grand Prix Final and World…
Canada-India $5.5 billion bank takeover attracts opposition from workers, politiciansCNBC · 8 days agoCanadian firm Fairfax Financial Holdings' proposed $5.5 billion takeover of IDBI Bank is facing pushback from employees of the Indian state-owned lender and political parties in the country. On Sunday, the United Forum of IDBI Officers and…
Oh Canada! Canadian students weigh in on Trump and the midtermsThe College Fix · 7 days agoOPINION/ANALYSIS College Fix foreign correspondent Simon Olech went to Niagara Falls and Toronto, Ontario to ask Canadian students what they think about Trump, America, and the midterm elections. College Fix foreign correspondent Simon…
Spain train crash: US, Japan and Canada citizens among dead, authorities saythe Guardian · 8 days agoThe train disaster, one of Europe’s deadliest rail incidents this century, killed 69 people, including 54 Spaniards Four US citizens and one each from Canada, Japan, Argentina, Mexico, Tunisia and the Czech Republic were among the 69…
Trump floats 'concept' of deal with Canada@ChinaDailyApp · 7 days agoMONTREAL/DUBUQUE, Iowa — US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that his administration has the "concept" of a new trade deal with Canada, while Prime Minister Mark Carney said the two leaders had a good conversation on the future of…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions