The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Oct 1, 2026
3%
$33.33
1.8K
Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
▼ 1
$100.00
1.4K
Before Dec 1, 2026
6%
2¢
9¢
$11.11
163
Before Jan 1, 2027
11%
7¢
15¢
$6.67
2.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
US midterm results a 'victory' for Canadians hopeful of tariff reliefBBC News · 5 days agoIt was the midterm result that many in Canada had hoped for - a Democratic sweep that was in part a repudiation by American voters of Donald Trump's tariff on close trade allies. "I was doing cartwheels down the street," said Ontario…
China calls on US and EU to reconsider tariffssemafor.com · 5 days agoBeijing said it was willing to buy more US farm goods, but only if the two sides agreed to slash tariffs. Beijing called on the US and the EU to reconsider their levies on Chinese goods, as the countryâs exports reached record highs…
BD CEO explains how the company used tariff refunds to buy back sharesFox Business · 4 days agoAdjusted earnings jump twenty-seven percent for MedTech giant BD as Chairman and CEO Tom Polen joins Liz Claman on 'The Claman Countdown.' Polen breaks down the company's quarterly sales performance and strong GLP-1 drug delivery business…
Democrats Plan Strategy to Eliminate Trump's Canada TariffsThe Last Refuge · 4 days agoUnfortunately, as noted in the initial predictions for 2027 legislative expectations it appears the ability of President Trump to execute an America-First economic policy is going to be targeted. Incoming Democrat committee leaders are…
Democrats Plan to Reverse Trump’s Canada TariffsPolitical Wire · 4 days ago“Democrats are eyeing President Trump’s trade war with Canada as the first target in a campaign to roll back his administration’s tariff agenda,” the Wall Street Journal reports. Economy, Foreign Affairs, Senate Electoral Map Electoral…
U.S. Democrats seek to repeal Trump's tariffs on Canadian goodsشبكة تواصل الإخبارية · 4 days agoThe U.S. Democratic Party intends to make the repeal of tariffs on Canadian goods one of the main objectives of its campaign to revise President Donald Trump’s trade policy. This was stated by Democratic Senator from Oregon Ron Wyden, the…
‘Tariff war in Canada is insane:’ Michigan Senator-electCTV News · 4 days agoCTV News ‘Tariff war in Canada is insane:’ Michigan Senator-elect Michigan’s Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed went on U.S. TV Thursday morning to hammer Donald Trump for his tariff war on Canada.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions