Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jul 1, 2027
5%
2¢
8¢
$12.50
Before Jan 1, 2028
8%
4¢
12¢
$8.33
Before Jul 1, 2028
12%
8¢
16¢
$6.25
Before Jan 1, 2029
27%
▲ 1
24¢
30¢
$3.33
11.00
Before Jul 1, 2029
43%
▲ 1
40¢
46¢
$2.17
498
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Mark Carney says US, Canada teams will work on trade deal in ‘coming weeks’POLITICO · 8 days agoThe Canadian prime minister cited recent “constructive discussions” with Trump around a potential deal. Prime Minister Mark Carney's office confirmed that the prime minister spoke to President Donald Trump by phone Saturday. | Evan…
Mark Carney on Trump, Ukraine — and those Brooks Brothers shirtsPOLITICO · 8 days ago10/30/2026 10:02 PM EDT 11/02/26 05:00 AM EST 11/01/26 06:00 AM EST 10/30/26 10:02 PM EDT 10/30/26 07:41 PM EDT 10/30/26 05:00 AM EDT 10/29/26 11:59 PM EDT 10/26/26 05:00 AM EDT 10/22/26 11:59 PM EDT
Mark Carney was threatened almost daily throughout 2025, documents revealToronto Star · 6 days agoThe latest information released Tuesday shows that the wave of threats that greeted Carney during his first 100 days in office continued through the rest of last year. Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks to media during the 28th Commonwealth…
Full transcript: POLITICO's interview with Mark CarneyPOLITICO · 9 days agoThe prime minister sat for an interview with POLITICO's Nick Taylor-Vaisey and Zoya Sheftalovich. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks during an interview with POLITICO at the Port of Montreal Tower in Montreal, Canada, on Oct. 30…
Mark Carney calls six federal byelections, including Scarborough North and in BrantfordToronto Star · 7 days agoVoters in those ridings, including three in Quebec and one in Saskatchewan, will head to the polls in early December. Prime Minister Mark Carney says voters will go to the polls in six federal ridings on Dec. 7. OTTAWA—Canadians in six…
Prime Minister Mark Carney says Russia will not be allowed to compete at world juniorsSportsnet.ca · 6 days agoCanadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said Tuesday that Russia will not be allowed to play at the upcoming world junior hockey tournament, adding to a growing boycott led by European federations ahead of the men’s tournament next year in…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions