Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before 2028
23%
▲ 1
19¢
26¢
$3.85
Before 2027
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Flávio Bolsonaro’s defeat is a major blow to Trump and his orange wavethe Guardian · 12 days agoThe far-right candidate was supposed to claim the presidency, but Brazilian voters had other ideas For Donald Trump, Brazil’s presidential election was meant to represent the crest of the “orange wave” – a three-year surge of rightwing…
Why Brazil’s Stocks and Funds Like the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF Are Crashing TodayThe Motley Fool · 14 days agoThe pro-capitalism Presidential candidate expected to win Sunday’s election was defeated by the incumbent, potentially setting the stage for economy-undermining turmoil. As is often the case anywhere else, political drama in Brazil is…
Bolivia and Chile Make NiceYahoo News · 18 days agoWelcome back to Foreign Policy's Latin America Brief. The highlights this week: Bolivia and Chile mend ties with a historic state visit, hundreds of U.S. troops reportedly deploy to the region, and Meta is accused of favoring far-right…
The Andes-Atlantic Corridor and the US neocolonial offensive in ArgentinaWorld Socialist Web Site · 20 days agoOn the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in late September, the United States and Argentina announced a sweeping strategic cooperation agreement, dubbed the Andes-Atlantic Corridor. The initiative was presented by Argentine…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions