Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
12%December 31
- June 30, 202712%▲ 1
- December 3112%
Install
Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
The odds
May 3, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202717%▼ 3
- Before Jul 1, 202766%▲ 4
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 32% on Oct 20, 17% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2% | $50.00 | 10.1K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 17% | ▼ 3 | 15¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 9.1K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 66% | ▲ 4 | 27¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 303 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: United States of America, James Brien Comey, James Comey
Search ›- Justice Department tells judge it may bring more charges against James ComeyThe federal judge overseeing the new case against former FBI Director James Comey is now set to decide whether placeholder charges can survive as prosecutors attempt to get an indictment from a Washington, DC, grand jury. During a hearing…
- James Comey lawyers seek to have third criminal case dismissedFederal judge to hear arguments on Friday over leak case that was twice previously investigated with no action taken Lawyers for the former FBI director James Comey will ask a federal judge on Friday to block the US justice department from…
- On the Third Set of Charges Against James ComeyEric Friedman Director of Communications Email Eli Cohen Communications Manager Email New York City Bar Association Statement The City Bar does not comment here on the merits of the latest charges against Mr. Comey. However, several…
- Judge weighs whether Justice Dept. violated statute in charging James ComeyA court hearing Friday centered on whether prosecutors used a valid legal maneuver to charge the former FBI director. A federal judge in D.C. considered Friday whether to dismiss the latest set of charges against former FBI director James…
- James Comey team in court seeking to toss out third DOJ case against longtime Trump foeWASHINGTON — Attorneys for former FBI Director James Comey will be in court Friday seeking to toss out the third federal criminal case the Trump administration has brought against him in the past 13 months. Comey, who has long been a…
- Judge finds Trump admin illegally fired James Comey's daughterThe administration will likely appeal the decision. A federal judge on Monday found that the Trump administration illegally fired Maurene Comey, the daughter of former FBI Director James Comey. Comey served as an Assistant U.S. Attorney…
- The James Comey National Security Leak Indictment Might Get TossedA federal judge seemed skeptical Friday of the way the Justice Department has mounted its third attempt to prosecute former FBI Director James Comey, but signaled he may await further action by prosecutors rather than throwing out the…
- Trump DOJ charges James Comey with transmission of national defense information in third caseA grand jury has not indicted Comey on the latest charges, but the case has been playing out under seal since Oct. 5, and Comey's defense attorneys sought to have the charges dismissed last week. The Trump administration charged former FBI…
- Ex-FBI chief James Comey faces third prosecution attempt by Trump justice departmentThe US justice department is attempting to prosecute former FBI director James Comey for a third time. The latest case accuses him of sharing sensitive national security information in 2016, according to court documents made public on…
- New federal case against James Comey centers again on alleged leak of classified informationFederal prosecutors are trying to establish that the former FBI director fired by President Trump in his first term directed a leak of national defense information to a journalist. A third federal case against James Comey, which was…
- James Comey’s latest charges highlight a longstanding problem with the Espionage ActThe 1917 law’s scope is so broad it makes motive irrelevant. The latest charges against James Comey, made public Monday, accuse the former FBI director of transmitting national defense information in violation of the Espionage Act…
- Judge Delays Decision As DOJ Cites New Evidence In James Comey CaseJames Comey asked a federal judge to shut down the Justice Department’s latest case against him. On Friday, the judge declined to do it — at least for now. U.S. District Judge Trevor McFadden held off on a ruling while prosecutors continue…
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All supreme court & courts ›What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
7%Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists
- Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists7%▼ 1
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What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? (Jan 20, 2029)
75%6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
- 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals75%▲ 6
- Not nine justices17%
- 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals7%▼ 2
2 more
- 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals1%
- 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals1%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
9%December 31
- October 31<1%▼ 1
- December 319%▼ 5
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
22%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar22%▼ 6
- John Brennan12%▲ 1
- Miles Taylor9%▲ 1
40 more
- Dan J. Sullivan8%
- Peter Strzok7%
- Fani Willis7%
- Leon Black7%
- James Clapper6%▼ 2
- Letitia James6%▼ 1
- Hunter Biden6%
- Andrew Weissmann6%
- Reid Hoffman6%
- Cassidy Hutchinson6%▲ 1
- Keith Ellison5%
- Anthony Fauci5%
- Kimberly Guilfoyle5%▼ 2
- Adam Schiff5%
- Lisa Monaco5%
- Joe Kent4%
- Jack Smith4%
- Chris Krebs4%
- Christopher Wray4%▼ 1
- Gustavo Petro4%
- Tim Walz4%▲ 1
- Elissa Slotkin4%
- Liz Cheney4%
- Jacob Frey4%
- Gavin Newsom4%
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom4%▲ 1
- Mark Milley3%
- Bill Clinton3%
- Alvin Bragg3%
- E. Jean Carroll3%
- Chris Christie2%
- Hillary Clinton2%
- Lisa Cook2%
- Tucker Carlson2%
- Mark Kelly2%
- Pam Bondi2%
- Barack Obama2%
- George Soros2%
- Jerome Powell1%
- Joe Biden1%
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions