Predictions › Politics › Supreme Court & courts Mar 28, 2027 even chance by
Before Jan 1, 2027 28% Before Jul 1, 2027 75%
Before Jan 1, 2027: 56% on Oct 28, 28% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Oct 30, 11 PM ET Before Jan 1, 2027: 35% → 25%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: United States of America, James Brien Comey, James Comey Search › Largest, most corrupt single entity in the entire United States of America is the United States Congress Canada Free Press · 36 h ago You’ve Got to Be Kidding Me, Right? #29 Democrats want to root out corruption; American Politics, News | Comments | November 8, 2026 The clip showed a Democrat boss telling a reporter how she and her communist and Islamist allies are going… ‘There is only the United States of America’: Erika Kirk hits back after Abdul El-Sayed declares Michigan 'capital of Arab America' Hindustan Times · 39 h ago Charlie Kirk’s widow, Erika Kirk, hit back at Abdul El-Sayed after the Democratic Senate candidate described Michigan as "the capital of Arab America” during a speech in Washington, DC. "My name is Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed, and I'm… Trump says he'd refused to forgive James Comey and Nancy Pelosi at gates of heaven even if it meant being turned away by St Peter Daily Mail · 14 h ago President Donald Trump has said that he would refuse to forgive James Comey and Nancy Pelosi at the gates of heaven even if it meant he would be turned away by St Peter. Trump, who describes himself as a 'religious person,' was asked about… 'I do hate some of them’: Trump says he won't forgive enemies like James Comey, Nancy Pelosi even on his deathbed Hindustan Times · 19 h ago US President Donald Trump stated that he would be unable to forgive political opponents such as James Comey and Nancy Pelosi, even if it were a condition for entering heaven. During a CBS News 60 Minutes interview with Ross Douthat that… Kuehne+Nagel appoints new National Managers in Germany, Spain and the United States of America caasint.com · 4 days ago 06th Nov 2026, 06:51. Written by Eddie Saunders Kuehne+Nagel announces three management appointments in key markets. Daniel Randig has been appointed National Manager for the United States of America, effective November 1, 2026. Björn… Ilia Malinin of the United States of America falls in the Men’s Single Skating free skate during the Milano Cortina 2026 Winter Olympic games at Milano Ice Skating Arena on February 13, 2026 in Milan. AppleValleyNewsNow.com · 3 days ago AppleValleyNewsNow.com Watch Apple Valley News Now+ Our Town: Burbank, Washington RAW: HEAVY RAIN DRENCHING EAST COAST Jacoby Brissett Joins Ravens: Can He Save Their Season? Ilia Malinin of the U.S. falls in the menâs free skate event… Cricket match squads - Rwanda Women vs United States of America Women, 2nd Match, Women's Victoria T20I Series, 2026, Women's Victoria T20I Series, 2026 Cricbuzz · 4 days ago Cricbuzz.com works to provide you with blazing fast, reliable and accurate cricket updates of all live cricket news, international cricket matches as well as the cricket leagues from around the world (Indian Premier League, Big Bash… President Xi Jinping Holds Talks with Gabonese President Brice Clotaire Oligui Nguema_Embassy of the People's Republic of China in the United States of America 中华人民共和国驻美利坚合众国大使馆 · 3 days ago On the afternoon of November 6, 2026, President Xi Jinping held talks with President Brice Clotaire Oligui Nguema of the Gabonese Republic, who is on a state visit to China, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. The two leaders… President Xi Jinping Holds Talks with Sultan Haitham of Oman_Embassy of the People's Republic of China in the United States of America 中华人民共和国驻美利坚合众国大使馆 · 4 days ago On the morning of November 2, President Xi Jinping held talks with Sultan Haitham of Oman, who is on a state visit to China, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. After the talks, the two heads of state jointly witnessed the signing… Uganda Women vs United States of America Women Women's Victoria T20I Series 2026 live Score - 12th November 2026 at 6:30:00 AM - Get live cricket score, ball-by-ball commentary, and highlights of UGA-W vs USA-W Khel Now · 4 days ago Uganda Women vs United States of America Women Scheduled Score - 12th November 2026 at 6:30:00 AM - UGA-W vs USA-W 2026 live Khel Now United States of America Women November 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM Women's Victoria T20I Series Entebbe Cricket… Trump suggests he would rather go to hell than forgive enemies cnn.com · 24 h ago In an interview with CBS' "60 minutes," President Donald Trump suggested he would go to hell before forgiving his enemies like James Comey or Nancy Pelosi. Trump suggests he would rather go to hell than forgive enemies In an interview with… Could Trump forgive his opponents if it meant eternal paradise? "I do hate some of my enemies, and I always will," he told 60 Minutes CBS News · 27 h ago November 8, 2026 / 7:00 PM EST / CBS News Could President Trump forgive his opponents if it meant eternal paradise? That's a question Ross Douthat asked Mr. Trump in an interview for 60 Minutes, which aired Sunday night. When asked what he… June 30, 2027 12% ▲ 1 December 31 12% Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists 7% ▼ 1 Republican National Committee v. Eakin 6% ▼ 2 Duncan v. Bonta 6% 5 more Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche 4% Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory 4% ▼ 1 Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice 3% Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day 3% Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States 2% 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 75% ▲ 6 Not nine justices 16% ▼ 1 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals 7% ▼ 2 2 more 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals 1% 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals 1% October 31 <1% ▼ 1 December 31 9% ▼ 5 Ilhan Omar 23% ▼ 2 John Brennan 12% ▲ 1 Miles Taylor 9% ▲ 1 40 more Dan J. Sullivan 8% Peter Strzok 7% Fani Willis 7% Leon Black 7% James Clapper 6% ▼ 2 Letitia James 6% ▼ 1 Hunter Biden 6% Andrew Weissmann 6% Reid Hoffman 6% Cassidy Hutchinson 6% ▲ 1 Keith Ellison 5% Anthony Fauci 5% Kimberly Guilfoyle 5% ▼ 2 Adam Schiff 5% Lisa Monaco 5% Joe Kent 4% Jack Smith 4% Chris Krebs 4% Gustavo Petro 4% Tim Walz 4% ▲ 1 Elissa Slotkin 4% Christopher Wray 4% ▼ 1 Jacob Frey 4% Gavin Newsom 4% Jennifer Siebel Newsom 4% ▲ 1 Liz Cheney 3% ▼ 1 Mark Milley 3% Bill Clinton 3% Alvin Bragg 3% E. Jean Carroll 3% Chris Christie 2% Hillary Clinton 2% Lisa Cook 2% Tucker Carlson 2% Mark Kelly 2% Pam Bondi 2% Barack Obama 2% George Soros 2% Jerome Powell 1% Joe Biden 1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Settles on U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, PACER
Trading closes Jun 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET
Traded $3K (10,578 contracts)
This week $468
At stake $826
In the news 2 headlines today, 6 this week
Followed here since Oct 27, 2026
The rules If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. (No. 1:26-cr-00229, D.D.C.) including any indictment that replaces it charging Comey with the disclosure alleged in that case has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi .
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions