How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? (Before Feb 2028)
The odds
37%Before Feb 1, 2028
- Before Dec 1, 20266%
- Before Jan 1, 202732%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202734%
- Before Aug 1, 202737%
- Before Feb 1, 202837%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Dec 1, 2026: 7% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 6% | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 4.0K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 32% | ▼ 1 | 31¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 3.7K |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 34% | 30¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 4.3K | |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | 37% | 36¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 5.7K | |
| Before Feb 1, 2028 | 37% | ▲ 1 | 33¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FDA, Heidi Overton, Commissioner
Search ›- Texas Railroad Commissioner resultsLive results for the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Texas Railroad Commissioner results When the nation waits for results, who…
- Democrat wins Texas railroad commissioner race after Republican faced backlash over racist commentsDemocratic state Rep. Jon Rosenthal has won the race for Texas railroad commissioner, NBC News projects, defeating Republican Bo French, who faced widespread backlash in his own party and beyond for anti-immigrant, Islamophobic and…
- FDA, CMS look to collaborate with states on health AISTAT is a media company focused on finding and telling compelling stories about health, medicine, and scientific discovery. We produce daily news, investigative articles, and narrative projects in addition to multimedia features, podcasts…
- Democrat Jon Rosenthal defeats Republican Bo French in ugly race for Texas railroad commissionerNovember 4, 2026 / 5:04 AM EST / CBS News Democrat Jon Rosenthal won the Texas Railroad Commissioner race, CBS News projects, defeating Republican Bo French after the GOP candidate refused to reconsider his racist, anti-Muslim and…
- Former FDA Senior Advisor Peter Reikes Proposes Prioritizing Executive Management Experience for Agency CommissionerFormer FDA Senior Advisor Peter Reikes argues that the federal government should prioritize management experience over policy expertise when evaluating candidates for the position of FDA Commissioner. In a recent commentary, Reikes…
- NHL commissioner Bettman familiar with both Bills, Foley and LaurieYahoo Sports - NHL commissioner Bettman familiar with both Bills, Foley and Laurie Keisha Lance Bottoms Could Cost Atlanta Its Third Chance at an NHL Franchise Can PWHL Detroit Hit The Ground Running? Texas Could Land Another NHL Team, But…
- Democrats Jane Kim, Ben Allen face off in California's insurance commissioner raceNovember 3, 2026 / 6:32 AM PST / CBS Sacramento California voters on Tuesday are set to decide who will become the next insurance commissioner, as the state continues to navigate an insurance market strained by rising costs and heightened…
- Ukraine's ombudsman, sanctioned Russian commissioner invited to Melania Trump's White House event, source saysUkraine's Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets and Russia's Commissioner for Human Rights Yana Lantratova are expected to attend a White House event on Nov. 5, where U.S. first lady Melania Trump will deliver remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire, a…
- Pharmalittle: We’re reading about CVS plans to split up, FDA inspections in India and China and moreEd Silverman, a senior writer and Pharmalot columnist at STAT, has been covering the pharmaceutical industry for more than three decades. His stories explore prescription drug pricing, affordability and access, as well issues surrounding…
- Ex-Commissioner Calls Out Dodgers' Spending, Says MLB Needs Salary CapDuring the modern golden age of the Los Angeles Dodgers, many have called for them to change their approach. The approach in question is the kind of spending that the Dodgers show each offseason for top talent around the league. This has…
- Biggest WNBA offseason questions: Who will be the new commissioner? What's next for Fever, Liberty and Sparks?The WNBA offseason has arrived, and this edition will be far less chaotic than the last. No expansion teams will join the league this season, and we will not have a contentious labor battle or the largest free agent class in league…
- FDA OKs generic HIV prevention shot, widening access for lower-income countriesEd Silverman, a senior writer and Pharmalot columnist at STAT, has been covering the pharmaceutical industry for more than three decades. His stories explore prescription drug pricing, affordability and access, as well issues surrounding…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions