How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Will Congressional salaries increase?
The odds
Oct 2, 2029even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 202714%▲ 5
- Before Jan 1, 202834%▲ 4
- Before Jan 1, 202943%▲ 4
- Before Jan 1, 203053%▲ 4
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 11% on Oct 19, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14% | ▲ 5 | 11¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 517 |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 34% | ▲ 4 | 30¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 234 |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 43% | ▲ 4 | 39¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 211 |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 53% | ▲ 4 | 49¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 19.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Members of Congress, Congressional
Search ›- DSA gains six more members in Congress, Democrats won't be hijacked by socialismFox News DSA gains six more members in Congress, Democrats won't be hijacked by socialism Former economic adviser to President Obama, Robert Wolf, explains why he is not concerned about the DSA hijacking the Democratic Party's agenda.
- Trump must give PR independence before Dems add 5 members of CongressWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Jeff Hurd fends off Democratic challenger Dwayne Romero in 3rd Congressional District; may be Colorado’s lone GOP member of CongressRepublican U.S. Rep. Jeff Hurd has fended off Democratic challenger Dwayne Romero and kept Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District, one of the state’s most competitive, in the GOP’s hands. Hurd was on track Friday to be the lone Republican…
- LGBTQ Members of Congress 2027: Who’s Confirmed by AP Calls So FarGLAAD’s post-election release Wednesday credited voters with “electing historic LGBTQ candidates to create the queerest Congress in history.” The current Congress has “a record 14 openly LGBTQ Members of Congress,” Equality PAC said in…
- Six members of Congress demand 'answers and investigation' after Otay Mesa detainee's deathDeaths in immigration detention centers have soared in President Donald Trump’s second term, as reports of inadequate medical care plague many facilities. Days after the midterm election gave them commanding control of Congress, six…
- Indian American Impact Congratulates Endorsed Indian Members of CongressIndian American Impact proudly congratulates its endorsed candidates on their victories in congressional races: Rep. Ami Bera (CA-03), Rep. Pramila Jayapal (WA-07), Rep. Ro Khanna (CA-17), and Rep. Suhas Subramanyam (VA-10), who won…
- D.C. Dispatch: What N.J.’s members of Congress did in Washington this weekKim opposes Trump’s new Census rules and Kean and Mejia seek to pass legislation in lame-duck session By Jonathan D. Salant, November 06 2026 6:06 pm U.S. Sen. Andy Kim, the top Democrat on the census subcommittee, is leading an effort to…
- Maxine Waters Wins Another Term at 88 Years Old to Become the Oldest Member of CongressNationwide — Maxine Waters has won reelection to California’s 43rd Congressional District, extending her decades-long career in the U.S. House of Representatives. At the age of 88, she is set […] The post Maxine Waters Wins Another Term at…
- Mannion will begin his second term as a more powerful member of Congress than his firstSpeaking Wednesday, Mannion said he was glad to hear President Trump say that he would accept the results of the election. "That was a moment that we needed, right? And I'm glad that it happened," Mannion said. "That gives me more hope…
- Democrats' Blue Wave Carries Several Union Members To CongressThe balance of power may be changing, but our job isn't. No matter who's in charge, democracy depends on a free press willing to ask hard questions, challenge authority and follow the facts. Help power that reporting. Sen.-elect Troy…
- Mamdani says new members of Congress elected with mandate to 'build not bomb'Dr. Abdul El-Sayed’s election to the Senate in Michigan is “one that means so much to so many,” New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani told reporters on Wednesday. The Republican Jewish Coalition has called El-Sayed, who declined to say that…
- Several members of Congress heading to governor’s mansionsWASHINGTON -- The number of governors who once served in Congress is set to grow next year after several lawmakers won gubernatorial races across the country. The incoming governors include members who've served in Congress for decades and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions