How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.4
Install
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
The odds
10%Roger Williams
- Roger Williams10%
- Susan Collins5%
- Ron Wyden4%
- David Rouzer4%
- Nancy Pelosi4%
- Larry Bucshon2%
- David Kustoff2%
- Morgan McGarvey1%
- Debbie Wasserman-Schultz1%
- Pete Sessions1%
How the odds have moved
Roger Williams: 10% on Oct 20, 10% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Williams | 10% | 8¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 715 | |
| Susan Collins | 5% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.76 | 1.0K | |
| Ron Wyden | 4% | 4¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 989 | |
| David Rouzer | 4% | 1¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 1.8K | |
| Nancy Pelosi | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | 11.0K | |
| Larry Bucshon | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | 2.2K | |
| David Kustoff | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | 9.2K | |
| Morgan McGarvey | 1% | 1¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 628 | |
| Debbie Wasserman-Schultz | 1% | 2¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 1.3K | |
| Pete Sessions | 1% | 1¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 564 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Roger Williams, Susan Collins, Ron Wyden
Search ›- Maine Republicans face a defining test as Susan Collins fights to keep her Senate seatSen. Susan Collins faces a challenge from Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine as Republicans debate the future of centrism and the GOP's place in New England. Maine Republicans face a defining test as Susan Collins fights to keep her Senate…
- Susan Collins Gets Trump Boost As New Poll Erases Jackson’s LeadOct 24, 2026 at 06:39 AM EDT Oct 24, 2026 at 06:44 AM EDT President Donald Trump has handed Republican Senator Susan Collins a timely economic boost in the competitive Maine Senate race, unveiling support for the state’s lobster industry…
- Susan Collins won women in 2020. How they break in 2026 could decide the Maine Senate race.The Republican senator narrowly won among women in 2020 even as they voted against Trump. This year, many are considering supporting Democrat Troy Jackson. LEWISTON, Maine — Tammy Green isn’t sure whom she’ll be supporting in Maine’s hotly…
- Susan Collins Touts Canada Tariff Exemptions in Tight Maine Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 03:21 PM EDT Republican Senator Susan Collins announced Friday that U.S. tariffs will exempt nine categories of Canadian imports used by Maine agricultural businesses after she pressed the Trump administration for relief…
- A Race Entirely About Susan Collins“Amid a handful of Senate races that will decide which party controls the upper chamber for the last two years of the Trump era, the race in Maine has emerged as the one most decisively about voters’ view of the incumbent,” Time reports…
- Growing up with, and apart from, Susan Collins | OpinionPeter Nalli has lived in southern Maine for 25 years. He is an independent consultant who has worked in education, policy, politics and economic and community development. It’s hard to change your mind about someone you once respected…
- Embattled Susan Collins announces exemptions for Maine from Trump Canada tariffsRepublican facing tough re-election battle in state where Trump’s trade war with neighbor has stirred outrage Susan Collins, the embattled Republican senator for Maine, announced that several industries crucial to her state would be…
- Maine voters reveal why Susan Collins could defy the polls in crucial Senate showdownMaine voters weigh in on Susan Collins' re-election bid against Troy Jackson, revealing why the longtime Republican senator's personal connections could prove decisive. Maine voters reveal why Susan Collins could defy the polls in crucial…
- Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs, Sen. Susan Collins saysThe Trump administration has granted tariff exemptions on some Canadian products, Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who’s facing a tough re-election battle in Maine, said Friday. The move is an implicit acknowledgement that President Donald…
- DAVID MARCUS: In blue Maine, nobody believes Susan Collins will lose until they see itMaine voters weigh in on Susan Collins' re-election bid against Troy Jackson, revealing why the longtime Republican senator's personal connections could prove decisive. There are two elements of the Senate race in Maine that truly stand…
- U.S. dropping some Canada tariffs, Susan Collins says as trade war looms over Maine Senate raceSen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, announced today that nine categories of products crucial for Maineâs agricultural industries, including blueberry, potato, apple, and seaweed producers, will be exempted from U.S. tariffs on Canada. CNBC's…
- Trump lifts 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods in boon to Maine Sen. Susan CollinsOctober 23, 2026 / 5:32 PM EDT / CBS News President Trump on Friday slashed tariffs on a handful of Canadian products that are used widely by Maine's agricultural industry, a move cheered by Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who is facing a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions