NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%
- Greg Murphy16%
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2030 U.S. House winner?
The odds
52%Democratic party
- Democratic party52%▼ 1
- Republican party48%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Democratic party: 52% on Nov 8, 52% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 52% | ▼ 1 | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | |
| Republican party | 48% | ▼ 1 | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: U.S. House
Search ›- Kentucky U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Kentucky U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Montana U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Montana U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Iowa U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Iowa U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- New Hampshire U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News New Hampshire U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Democrat Nancy Lacore wins election to U.S. House in South Carolina's 1st Congressional DistrictThe Washington Post Democrat Nancy Lacore won election Friday to the U.S. House of Representatives representing South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, defeating Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt
- U.S. House Elections 2026 Live Results: Democrats Win ControlFollow real-time U.S. House election results during the 2026 midterms. See outcomes by state or district, and track which party is leading the House majority race. Trump signed a proclamation today to designate the Oval Office and the…
- Kansas U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
- Arizona U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Arizona U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Idaho U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Idaho U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- South Carolina U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News South Carolina U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Georgia U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
- Congress News: U.S. House, Senate Breaking Headlines and VideoNBC News Voters reject Trump’s GOP as Democrats rack up wins ‘A Watergate-level repudiation’: Ted Cruz weighs in on midterm wave Billionaire Leon Black sues Rep. Robert Garcia, alleging defamation over Epstein comments Inside the…
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94%Hakeem Jeffries
- Hakeem Jeffries94%▼ 1
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Alaska House winner? (2026)
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CO-04 House winner?
>99%Eileen Laubacher
- Eileen Laubacher>99%▲ 1
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AZ-02 House Election Winner
>99%Eli Crane (R)
- Eli Crane (R)>99%▲ 2
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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Feb 1, 2027)
250.5median
207252
Median 250.5Middle half 249.7 – 251.2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions