Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027?

Kalshi Economy › Housing Closes Oct 31, 2027 · $191 traded · $4 at stake · prices read 8 h ago

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The odds

5%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 6% on Oct 23, 5% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 4, 11 AM ET97% → 5%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 26, 1 PM ET4% → 88%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 4.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Commercial

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  • NASA hopes the commercial space industry can help save HubbleThe Verge · 8 days agoGravity is a cruel mistress, slowly dragging the famed telescope ever closer to its ultimate demise with every day. Hubble is in no immediate danger of burning up in the Earth's atmosphere, but its time will run out in the early to mid…
  • L&T bags 'significant' orders for residential, commercial projectsNews18 · 8 days agoNew Delhi, Nov 2 (PTI) Infrastructure major Larsen & Toubro (L&T) on Monday said that it has bagged significant orders from a prestigious client for the construction of residential buildings in Mumbai and Bengaluru, and a commercial tower…
  • Waldorf Astoria DIFC appoints new Commercial DirectorBiz Today · 8 days agoDUBAI: Waldorf Astoria Dubai International Financial Centre has appointed Lara Haddad as Commercial Director. Haddad brings 20 years of luxury hospitality experience across the Gulf and Levant, including more than 13 years with Four…
  • Venture Global starts commercial operations at Plaquemines LNGSeeking Alpha · 8 days agoVenture Global said it launched commercial operations at Phase 1 of its Plaquemines LNG export project in Louisiana; with Shell loading the first cargo from the project. alvarez/E+ via Getty Images Venture Global (VG) said Sunday it has…
  • The Pipeline: Commercial real estate roundup for 10.30.26Richmond BizSense · 8 days agoRichmond BizSense October 30, 2026 0 #1 CoreOne Industrial purchased 221,056 square feet at 7400 Impala Drive and 3007 Vernon Road in Henrico from IRG. According to county records the purchase price was $12.9 million. Bo McKown with…
  • Nigerian Sinotuck unveils electric commercial truck, Sitrak, targets lower haulage costsThe Sun Nigeria · 8 days ago02 November 2026 6:53 am WAT Nigerian Sinotrucks Limited has introduced Sitrak electric trucks to help businesses reduce distribution expenses, improve fleet efficiency and embrace cleaner energy, with the company’s founder and Managing…
  • Commercial LPG cylinder prices increased by Rs 12.50madhyamamonline.com · 9 days agoThe revised price is Rs 2,840 in Kochi, Rs 2,870 in Kozhikode and Rs 2,860 in Thiruvananthapuram Kozhikode: The price of commercial LPG cylinders has been increased by Rs 12.50 The revised price is Rs 2,840 in Kochi, Rs 2,870 in Kozhikode…
  • Quail Farming Expands In Punjab, But Market Uncertainty Limits Commercial GrowthUrduPoint · 8 days agoPublished November 02, 2026 | 04:05 PM Rising demand from hotels and restaurants is encouraging small-scale farms, while officials caution that feed costs, price fluctuations, mortality rates and access to reliable buyers will determine…
  • Commercial drivers declare nationwide strike over TRAFFITECH-GH enforcementGhanaWeb · 8 days agoCommercial transport operators in Ghana have announced plans to withdraw their services on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, in protest against the government’s enforcement of the new TRAFFITECH-GH traffic monitoring system. - You are only…
  • Maine Commercial Real Estateboulos.com · 8 days agoFind available Commercial Real Estate Properties for sale in Maine and New Hampshire. The Boulos Company listings offer commercial office space, industrial, retail, investment, and commercial land. Our new address is One Portland Square…
  • Venture Global Begins Commercial Operations at Plaquemines LNG Phase 1OilPrice.com · 8 days agoIraq's Oil Exports via Turkey Surge to 500,000 Bpd Diesel prices could remain above… Venture Global has officially begun commercial operations at the first phase of its Plaquemines LNG export facility in Louisiana, marking a significant…
  • Commercial LPG & Jet Fuel Rates Hiked Effective Today@PragativadiNews · 8 days agoHome » Commercial LPG & Jet Fuel Rates Hiked Effective Today State-owned oil marketing companies (OMCs) have announced a fresh round of fuel price hikes effective Nov 1, delivering an inflationary blow to the hospitality, restaurant, and…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions