SettledAbove 32,000A day before, traders had a median of 34,559
The last odds before it closed
34,559median
✓ Above 4k98%
✓ Above 6k96%▼ 1
✓ Above 8k99%
✓ Above 10k98%▲ 2
✓ Above 12k99%▲ 3
✓ Above 14k99%▼ 1
✓ Above 16k97%▲ 2
✓ Above 18k96%▲ 1
✓ Above 20k92%▼ 4
✓ Above 22k91%▲ 3
✓ Above 24k77%▼ 2
✓ Above 26k77%▲ 4
3 more
✓ Above 28k65%▼ 3
✓ Above 30k74%
✓ Above 32k65%
How the odds have moved
Median: 31,714 on Oct 21, 34,559 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Above 4k
98%
1.3K
✓ Above 6k
96%
1.5K
✓ Above 8k
99%
2.5K
✓ Above 10k
98%
2.9K
✓ Above 12k
99%
1.6K
✓ Above 14k
99%
4.7K
✓ Above 16k
97%
2.8K
✓ Above 18k
96%
4.2K
✓ Above 20k
92%
14.2K
✓ Above 22k
91%
2.1K
✓ Above 24k
77%
1.7K
✓ Above 26k
77%
508
✓ Above 28k
65%
1.7K
✓ Above 30k
74%
1.3K
✓ Above 32k
65%
2.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions