Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
6%
3¢
9¢
$11.11
26.00
Before Jul 1, 2027
16%
12¢
19¢
$5.26
Before Jan 1, 2028
31%
▲ 1
27¢
34¢
$2.94
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The Nine: Did Danielle Smith get her mandate?CityNews Toronto · 11 days agoPosted October 30, 2026 7:24 am. Now that question 10 has been put to rest, what about the other nine? Albertans were asked a range of questions regarding the future of the economy, immigration system, and Canada’s constitution. Official…
Danielle Smith’s gerrymandering of electoral boundaries threaten Alberta democracyThoughtful Journalism · 11 days agoHome / News / Danielle Smith’s gerrymandering of electoral boundaries threaten Alberta democracy In an interview with Energi Media, Wesley said the dispute reaches beyond individual constituencies to the fairness of elections themselves…
Rob Breakenridge: Danielle Smith bans DEI hiring, daring the NDP to opposeNational Post · 13 days agoThe Opposition could find itself defending a policy that has little public support CALGARY — In the current political climate, it’s not likely a coincidence that the Alberta government is prioritizing the fight against woke, progressive…
Alberta UCP Sues Former Caucus Members Over Use of Progressive Conservative NameThe Epoch Times · 14 days agoAlberta’s United Conservative Party (UCP) has filed a lawsuit against two former caucus members who want to form a party under the “progressive conservative” banner, arguing the branding legally belongs to the UCP and that its use would…
Alberta UCP MLA Shane Getson resigns from caucusEdmonton Journal · 14 days ago"I was humbled to see that authenticity opens doors internationally." On the evening before the start of the fall sitting, UCP MLA Shane Getson had his last day as a member of the legislature. Shane Getson, who represents Lac Ste…
What Danielle Smith is still getting wrong, according to this even-tempered separatistNational Post · 16 days agoAnalysis: Keith Wilson says Alberta has rejected independence, and he accepts that. But the premier has work to do with the dissenters in her party “The people have spoken, I accept what they’ve said,” says Keith Wilson, co-founder of the…
The political forces behind Alberta’s $2-million-plus referendum fundraisingThe Hub · 11 days agoA voter leaves a polling station after casting their vote in the Alberta referendum in Calgary, Monday, Oct. 19, 2026. Jeff McIntosh/The Canadian Press. Alberta’s referendum may be over, but the full cost of the campaign to influence its…
Letters: Why are Albertans having to pay for COVID shots?Edmonton Sun · 11 days agoEdmonton Sun readers sound off on the issues of the day Barry Lawson, Red Deer (Vaccines have been a touchy subject around these parts, but there are plenty who’d agree with you.) Danielle Smith is demanding Mr. Carney end the tanker ban…
Alberta government introduces bill to standardize school report cardsNarcity · 11 days agoAlberta's United Conservative government is making changes to standardize school report cards. Education Minister Demetrios Nicolaides has introduced legislation which, if passed, will grant him authority to set guidelines for those report…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions