How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
Next DCCC chair? (Before Mar 2, 2027)
The odds
12%Brad Schneider
- Brad Schneider12%▲ 1
- Steven Horsford10%▲ 1
- Greg Stanton8%▲ 1
- Jamie Raskin6%
- Ami Bera4%
- Lauren Underwood4%
- Jason Crow3%
- Morgan McGarvey3%
- Ted Lieu2%
- Lizzie Fletcher2%
- Sharice Davids1%
How the odds have moved
Brad Schneider: 11% on Oct 20, 12% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Schneider | 12% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 54.00 |
| Steven Horsford | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Greg Stanton | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 3.3K |
| Jamie Raskin | 6% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 9.6K | |
| Ami Bera | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 | 5.0K | |
| Lauren Underwood | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 | 2.1K | |
| Jason Crow | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | 6.3K | |
| Morgan McGarvey | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | 4.8K | |
| Ted Lieu | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 3.4K | |
| Lizzie Fletcher | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | 6.0K | |
| Sharice Davids | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $83.33 | 3.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: DCCC, Brad Schneider, Steven Horsford
Search ›- Rep. Steven Horsford: 'Time is of the essence' to move crypto legislation forwardRep. Steven Horsford, D-Nev., one of six candidates who received a more than $1 million contribution from the pro-crypto super PAC Fairshake, says the topic of digital assets "definitely comes up" in town hall meetings in his district…
- A moderate proposalThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By DASHA BURNS, WILL STEAKIN and ADAM WREN 10/29/2026 06:17 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Good Thursday morning. It’s…
- Día de los Muertos celebrations rise from the dead as ICE arrests continue: ‘It’s important to bring joy in dark times’After canceling events in 2025, US cities including Henderson, Kentucky, are reviving public Day of the Dead events Julia, a 19-year-old born in the US, and her parents, undocumented immigrants from Mexico, enjoyed attending the Día de los…
- What eight last-minute trips to Nevada reveal about the 2028 presidential raceNORTH LAS VEGAS — Inside the Culinary Academy of Las Vegas, roughly 200 attendees buzzed in anticipation. Even Attorney General Aaron Ford (D), locked in one of the tightest gubernatorial races in the country, made a surprise appearance…
- Crypto industry pours more than $200 million into 2026 midterms to pressure Congress on favorable rulesThe largest group of single-issue super PACs in United States history is pouring millions of dollars into congressional races across the country. Cryptocurrency groups outpaced online betting and data center development groups in federal…
- Democrats mostly settle committee posts if they retake House, GOP leadership less clearMost House speakers in recent decades have left Congress after losing the speakership. With polls and historical data showing Democrats poised to retake control of the House, Minority Leader Rep. Hakem Jeffries appears set to become the…
- Congressional Black Caucus presses companies in the US to oppose Republican redistricting pushTuesday, May 26, 2026 | 10:35 p.m. That 2021 coalition, Business for Voting Rights, was backed by many of the country’s most valuable and influential companies, including Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Salesforce, Target…
- Hilarious Four-Minute Struggle Session, As CNBC Hosts Corner DCCC Chair on 'Decoy Dan' ScandalThe "Decoy Dan" scandal in Alaska is roiling the Senate race there and may just sink Democrat Alaska Senate nominee Mary Peltola's campaign. The New York Times reported on the alleged effort by the Peltola campaign and Democrat operatives…
- DUDE VIDEO – Liberal CNBC host GRILLS DCCC campaign chair over refusal to acknowledge Dem Alaska scandalThis full exchange between liberal CNBC host Andrew Sorkin and this Democrat campaign chair for the House DCCC is a must watch. I mean, as a Democrat, he is fully onboard in recognizing the scandal for what it is and asks her about it. But…
- Israel’s Election Deadlock Leaves Netanyahu Short as Eisenkot Seeks Arab-Party SupportPublished 30 Oct 2026, 05:20 UTCUpdated 1 Nov 2026, 05:21 UTC Latest on this story31 Oct: Joint List And Ra’am Hold Key Seats After Israel Election Deadlock1 more No bloc won a majority; Netanyahu bloc 53 seats, Eisenkot bloc 48, Arab…
- Nevada's Election HQ: What you need to know about Ballot Question 6FOX5 Vegas Nevada's Election HQ: What you need to know about Ballot Question 6 Las Vegas workers say economic relief is falling short Got a Minute? Cody Whipple shares campaign goals in District 4 race Got a Minute? Scott Black running for…
- Culinary Union, Attorney General Ford and Nevada’s congressional delegation Titus, Horsford, and Lee call on Station Casinos to negotiate a fair contract now after U.S. Supreme Court denialTuesday, October 27, 2026 Bethany Khan: [email protected] ▪ (702) 387-7088 Culinary Union, Attorney General Ford and Nevada’s congressional delegation Titus, Horsford, and Lee call on Station Casinos to negotiate a fair contract now after…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions