How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Will the House pass additional defense funding?
The odds
40%Before Jul 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202721%
- Before Jul 1, 202740%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 15% on Oct 19, 21% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 3.5K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 21% | 17¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 2.0K | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 40% | ▼ 1 | 35¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Department of Defense, House
Search ›- Reports suggest Trump is considering nominating Ron DeSantis to succeed Hegseth at the Department of DefenseCairo, Egypt – Egyptian press reports have revealed a move within the Egyptian Football Association to terminate the contract of… Gadi Eizenkot and the Challenges of Forming an Israeli Government JD Vance and the Shifts in Leadership…
- If The US Department Of Defense Gets Solar Power, Why Can’t We?In the topsy-turvy world of today’s federal energy policy, solar power is a bad thing. Various members of the President’s cabinet have advised that solar is “unreliable,” and that solar power plants routinely experience “catastrophic…
- Accountability Will Come – What Should It Look Like for the Department of Defense?How, then, should a new leadership team plan to proceed upon taking office? Here are nine steps – based on the assumption that whoever takes office will appreciate the seriousness of the damage that has been done, the risks of recurrence…
- Knives Are Out in the White HousePresident Donald Trump’s aides were reeling from the scale of Republican losses on Tuesday night, but they almost immediately began figuring out who to blame. The ultimate responsibility, officials acknowledged only in private, lay with…
- UNC Lineberger Researchers Receive Department of Defense Award to Study Why Some Melanoma Patients Do Not Respond to ImmunotherapyNew study will examine how melanoma disrupts key immune cells in the bone marrow, with the goal of improving the body’s ability to fight cancer. UNC Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center researchers have received a Department of Defense…
- Pentagon Calls Questions Over Pete Hegseth’s Wife ‘Ridiculous Slander’Nov 06, 2026 at 10:25 AM EST The Pentagon has defended Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and his wife after it emerged Jennifer Hegseth had worked with a consulting firm with alleged links to a major U.S. military supplier. The records offer…
- House Armed Service Committee Democrats Promise “Vigorous Oversight”By Albert L in Daily News, News, Politics, USA November 6, 2026 Democrats on the House Armed Service Committee have promised “vigorous oversight” of the Department of Defense and the Trump administration once the new Congress assumes…
- House Democrats To Immediately Vote To Defund Trump’s Iran WarBefore House Republicans were blown out and lost their majority in an astoundingly comprehensive national defeat, they had already sown the seeds of a new crisis by setting up a series of funding deadlines for the lame-duck session in…
- Montana U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Montana U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Kentucky U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Kentucky U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Iowa U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Iowa U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Pressure Mounts on Pete Hegseth Ahead of Impeachment Push Over IranNov 06, 2026 at 01:41 PM EST Pressure is mounting on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth from both sides of the political aisle, with Republican Representative Thomas Massie preparing to force a House impeachment vote as soon as next week and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions