NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%▲ 1
- Greg Murphy15%
Install
120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House? (2027)
The odds
94%Hakeem Jeffries
- Hakeem Jeffries94%▲ 1
- Pete Aguilar1%
- Katherine Clark1%
- Jim Jordan1%▲ 1
- Mike Johnson1%▲ 1
- Tom Emmer<1%
- Steve Scalise<1%
How the odds have moved
Hakeem Jeffries: 88% on Oct 20, 94% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakeem Jeffries | 94% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 70.1K |
| Pete Aguilar | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.6K | |
| Katherine Clark | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 11.4K | |
| Jim Jordan | 1% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.2K |
| Mike Johnson | 1% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.2K |
| Tom Emmer | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.0K | ||
| Steve Scalise | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Speaker, House, Hakeem Jeffries
Search ›- Democrats projected to gain control of the House, Hakeem Jeffries will be next speakerFox News Democrats projected to gain control of the House, Hakeem Jeffries will be next speaker The ‘FOX News Democracy 26’ panel analyses the key races to watch in the race to win a U.S. Senate majority.
- Hakeem Jeffries on path to become first Black Speaker of the HouseCNN Hakeem Jeffries on path to become first Black Speaker of the House Democrats will win control of the House, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, a major victory for the party, which will now have the power to pursue a sweeping oversight…
- Hakeem Jeffries is poised to become the first Black speaker of the HouseMidterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected: NPR Politics Podcast | NPR Politics newsletter | NPR app After helping to deliver a decisive victory for House Democrats in the midterm elections…
- Hakeem Jeffries is on track to make House speaker history. But major challenges lay aheadSoon after Hakeem Jeffries arrived in the House in 2013, one of his earliest mentors approached a group of senior Black Democrats with a message. “I think he is the one,” former Rep. Eddie Bernie Johnson told lawmakers at the time…
- Hakeem Jeffries speaks after Democrats claim a majority in House and SenateNBC News Sen. Schumer: ‘We have seen a generational remake of the Senate map’ Hakeem Jeffries speaks after Democrats claim a majority in House and Senate Full Special Report: Hakeem Jeffries says Democrats will deliver change after midterm…
- House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries declares "America is back"In energized remarks before supporters, House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries said his party will deliver "transformational change" when they take control of Congress after voters fueled a blue wave that will upend President Trump's…
- House Dem who defied Hakeem Jeffries scores upset win in pro-Trump district'The Big Money Show' panel analyzes President Donald Trump's economic messaging on the campaign trail and reviews the latest Fox News polls in the Ohio and Texas Senate races ahead of the midterm elections, where cost of living remains a…
- Watch live: House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries speaks as Democrats projected to win HouseHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., to give press conference amid blue wave. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., and Democratic leaders are expected to hold a press conference Tuesday night as Democrats are projected…
- Hakeem Jeffries calls Democrats' massive win a 'victory for the American people'Hakeem Jeffries calls Democrats’ massive win a ‘victory for the American people’ CNN Hakeem Jeffries calls Democrats’ massive win a ‘victory for the American people’ House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries hails Tuesday night's big win for…
- Hakeem Jeffries to make history as the first Black speaker of the HouseWASHINGTON — Two decades after Democrats swept into power and elected Nancy Pelosi the first female speaker of the House, the party is making history once again. WASHINGTON — Two decades after Democrats swept into power and elected Nancy…
- Hakeem Jeffries takes victory lap after Democratic midterm winsFox News Hakeem Jeffries takes victory lap after Democratic midterm wins House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries addresses reporters from Capitol Hill following Democratic victories in the midterm elections. House minority leader Hakeem…
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CO-04 House winner?
>99%Eileen Laubacher
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- Lauren Boebert<1%
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>99%Eli Crane (R)
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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Feb 1, 2027)
250.5median
207252
Median 250.5Middle half 249.7 – 251.2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions