How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closed today 8:41 PM ET · $858 today · $251K traded · $151K at stake

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Settled Above 250.00A day before, traders had a median of 260.1

The last odds before it closed

260.2median
  • ✓ At least 21097%▼ 2
  • ✓ At least 21499%▲ 2
  • ✓ At least 21899%▲ 5
  • ✓ At least 22299%▲ 7
  • ✓ At least 22699%▲ 13
  • ✓ At least 23099%▲ 20
  • ✓ At least 23499%▲ 1
  • ✓ At least 23899%▼ 1
  • ✓ At least 24299%
  • ✓ At least 24699%
  • ✓ At least 25098%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Median: 235.9 on Oct 20, 260.2 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ At least 210 97% 4.4K
✓ At least 214 99% 5.0K
✓ At least 218 99% 8.9K
✓ At least 222 99% 11.9K
✓ At least 226 99% 16.8K
✓ At least 230 99% 21.2K
✓ At least 234 99% 13.3K
✓ At least 238 99% 26.8K
✓ At least 242 99% 20.9K
✓ At least 246 99% 29.2K
✓ At least 250 98% 50.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: U.S. House, House, Midterms

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions