Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
12%December 31
- June 30, 202712%▲ 1
- December 3112%
Install
Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court? (Before 2027)
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 7% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | 18.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Biden
Search ›- Hunter Biden Says Joe Biden’s Cancer Treatment ‘Incredibly Taxing’Poll of the Day Nov 03, 2026 at 12:57 PM EST Nov 03, 2026 at 12:58 PM EST Joe Biden's battle with cancer is "incredibly taxing" on his body, his son Hunter has revealed in an update on the former president’s health. He said: "I described…
- Kayleigh McEnany breaks down Trump vs Biden inflationFox News Kayleigh McEnany breaks down Trump vs Biden inflation Fox News host Kayleigh McEnany analyzes voter sentiment about the economy, highlighting President Donald Trump’s economic agenda, on 'FOX News Democracy 26.’
- Bernie Sanders: Harris didn't lose because of Biden, Today - BBC Radio 4Bernie Sanders: Harris didn't lose because of Biden BBC Bernie Sanders: Harris didn't lose because of Biden
- Dana Perino: Gas prices were ‘outrageous’ under Biden, and Democrats didn’t say anythingFox News Dana Perino: Gas prices were ‘outrageous’ under Biden, and Democrats didn’t say anything A ‘FOX News Democracy 2026’ panel discusses the impact of energy prices, the Iran war and President Donald Trump’s economic messaging on…
- Democrats Were Comfortable Running Biden Because They Thought Trump was Going to Jail | Tomi Lahren is FearlessFox News Democrats Were Comfortable Running Biden Because They Thought Trump was Going to Jail | Tomi Lahren is Fearless "Well, the underlying assumption was, it doesn't matter if Biden's running or not, because Trump's going to go to…
- Illegal immigrant accused of violent attempted murder, kidnapping of a minor was released under Biden adminThe U.S. Department of Homeland Security confirms that Abubakarr Barrie, 23,is facing charges after a horrific incident in Baltimore, Maryland where he is accused of stabbing and attempting to kidnap a 15-year-old girl. (Credit: WBFF) An…
- Judge dismisses charges against FBI agents in Hunter Biden laptop investigationBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The judge said the…
- Judge tosses charges against former FBI officials accused of lying to Congress over Hunter Biden probeIn a ruling from the bench, U.S. Magistrate Judge Zia Faruqui condemned the Justice Department’s case as rushed and overtly political. Hunter Biden departs from federal court, Monday, June 10, 2024, in Wilmington, Delaware. | Matt…
- Judge tosses case against two officials accused of lying about Hunter BidenThe two FBI agents were charged with making false statements to Congress while testifying about the bureau’s role in investigating Biden’s laptop A federal judge dismissed criminal charges against two former FBI officials who were accused…
- Illegal immigrant from Sierra Leone accused of violent attempted murder, kidnapping; was released under Biden adminThe U.S. Department of Homeland Security confirms that Abubakarr Barrie, 23,is facing charges after a horrific incident in Baltimore, Maryland where he is accused of stabbing and attempting to kidnap a 15 year old girl. (Credit: WBFF)…
- Judge dismisses case against ex-FBI agents accused on lying to Congress in Hunter Biden probeBREAKING: Judge dismisses case against ex-FBI agents accused of lying to Congress in Hunter Biden probe A judge on Monday dismissed a criminal complaint against a pair of former FBI officials accused of lying to Congress about what they…
- Judge dismisses case against former FBI officials who DOJ believes hampered Biden family corruption probeA federal judge has thrown out a case against two former FBI officials who were charged with lying to Congress as part of a probe that focused on whether FBI investigators sought to minimize allegations of Biden family corruption and…
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7%Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists
- Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists7%▼ 1
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What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? (Jan 20, 2029)
75%6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
- 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals75%▲ 6
- Not nine justices16%▼ 1
- 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals9%
2 more
- 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals1%
- 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals1%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
9%December 31
- October 31<1%▼ 1
- December 319%▼ 5
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
25%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar25%▼ 1
- John Brennan12%▲ 1
- Miles Taylor9%▲ 1
40 more
- Dan J. Sullivan8%
- Peter Strzok7%
- Fani Willis7%
- Leon Black7%
- James Clapper6%▼ 2
- Letitia James6%▼ 1
- Hunter Biden6%
- Andrew Weissmann6%▼ 1
- Reid Hoffman6%
- Cassidy Hutchinson6%▲ 1
- Keith Ellison5%
- Anthony Fauci5%
- Kimberly Guilfoyle5%▼ 2
- Adam Schiff5%
- Lisa Monaco5%
- Joe Kent4%
- Jack Smith4%
- Chris Krebs4%
- Gustavo Petro4%
- Tim Walz4%
- Elissa Slotkin4%
- Christopher Wray4%▼ 1
- Jacob Frey4%
- Gavin Newsom4%
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom4%▲ 1
- Liz Cheney3%▼ 1
- Mark Milley3%
- Bill Clinton3%
- Alvin Bragg3%
- E. Jean Carroll3%
- Chris Christie2%
- Hillary Clinton2%
- Lisa Cook2%
- Tucker Carlson2%
- Mark Kelly2%
- Pam Bondi2%
- Barack Obama2%
- George Soros2%
- Jerome Powell1%
- Joe Biden1%
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions