US existing home sales for November (November 2026)

Kalshi Economy › Housing Closes Dec 9 · $316 today · $316 traded · $316 at stake · prices read 29 min ago

Embed

The odds

3.69median

3.304.20

Median 3.69Middle half 3.60 – 3.79

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 3.40M	96%	93¢	98¢	$1.02
Above 3.50M	91%	86¢	96¢	$1.04
Above 3.60M	75%	70¢	79¢	$1.27	100
Above 3.70M	49%	44¢	53¢	$1.89	400
Above 3.80M	24%	19¢	28¢	$3.57	200
Above 3.90M	8%	3¢	13¢	$7.69
Above 4.00M	5%	2¢	7¢	$14.29
Above 4.10M	3%	1¢	5¢	$20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All housing ›

Economy › Housing

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

$4,018median

$3,700$4,600

Median $4,018Middle half $3,952 – $4,073

Economy › Housing

Will Utah's House Price Index exceed 722.63 in Q4 2026?

68%chance▲ 14

Economy › Housing

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

3,199median

1,5007,500

Median 3,199Middle half 2,894 – 3,431

Economy › Housing

US housing starts for October (October 2026)

1.27median

11.45

Median 1.27Middle half 1.22 – 1.34

Economy › Housing

US new home · Sales in October (October 2026)

665,385median

580,000760,000

Median 665,385Middle half 630,769 – 704,762

Economy › Housing

Toronto condo price below C$600K in 2026?

14%chance▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onTrading Economics

Trading closesDec 9, 2026 9:59 AM ET

Traded$316 (700 contracts)

Today$316

This week$316

At stake$316

Followed here sinceNov 12, 2026

The rules

If US existing home sales for November 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, millions of homes) is above 3.40M, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions