US crude oil inventories for the week ending November 13, 2026

Kalshi Economy Closes Wed 10:29 AM ET · prices read 6 h ago

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The odds

414.7median

408421

Median 414.7Middle half 411.6 – 417.7

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays
Above 409 million barrels	89%	84¢	94¢	$1.06
Above 410 million barrels	85%	80¢	90¢	$1.11
Above 411 million barrels	79%	74¢	84¢	$1.19
Above 412 million barrels	72%	67¢	77¢	$1.30
Above 413 million barrels	64%	59¢	69¢	$1.45
Above 414 million barrels	56%	51¢	61¢	$1.64
Above 415 million barrels	47%	42¢	52¢	$1.92
Above 416 million barrels	38%	33¢	43¢	$2.33
Above 417 million barrels	30%	25¢	35¢	$2.86
Above 418 million barrels	23%	18¢	28¢	$3.57
Above 419 million barrels	17%	12¢	22¢	$4.55
Above 420 million barrels	12%	7¢	17¢	$5.88

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: oil prices, crude oil, OPEC

Search ›

Crude Oil Prices Surge Past $95 As Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Saudi Oil Facilities Face AttacksFree Press Journal · 9 h agoHomeBusinessCrude Oil Prices Surge Past $95 As Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Saudi Oil Facilities Face Attacks Crude Oil Prices Surge Past $95 As Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Saudi Oil Facilities Face Attacks Global oil prices surged on Nov 13…
US Equity Markets End Lower After Crude Oil Prices Rise, Nvidia CEO ResignsMarketScreener · 17 h agoUS equity indexes ended lower Thursday after government bond yields surged as crude oil prices rose and Nvidia Chief Executive Jensen Huang resigned. * Initial jobless claims rose sequentially to... US Equity Markets End Lower After Crude…
Sensex, Nifty trade higher in early deals amid decline in crude oil pricesPunjab News Express · 22 h agoThursday, November 12, 2026 All News Makers All Regional All Home Punjab All News Makers Crime-Justice Chandigarh Regional News National All Regional Health Education Diaspora Business Editorial Page All Entertainment Leisure Life Style…
Oil prices set for second weekly decline as Trump to stay with Iran blockadeCNBC · 11 h agoOil Prices and NewsOil prices set for second weekly decline as Trump to stay with Iran blockade Published Thu, Nov 12 20269:57 PM ESTWATCH LIVEIn this article @LCO27F Oil prices were mixed on Friday, but set for their second weekly…
Wall Street shakes with swings for Nvidia and oil prices but recovers most of its early lossesThe Washington Post · 16 h agoBy Stan Choe | APNEW YORK — The U.S. stock market shook Thursday, but it largely absorbed big swings for Nvidia and oil prices and finished with relatively modest losses. The moves suggested Wall Street sees limited fallout for the…
Chennai Petro, ONGC, Oil India fall up to 3% amid declining crude oil pricesTradingView · 30 h agoLess than 1 min readCHENNPETROONGCOILShares of Chennai Petroleum Corporation, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), Oil India and other oil companies fell by up to 3 percent on Thursday as global crude oil prices extended their decline…
Oil prices jump after Trump says no Iran deal needed: 'We've got their Strait'CNBC · 24 h agoMarketsOil prices jump after Trump says no Iran deal needed: 'We've got their Strait' Published Thu, Nov 12 20268:24 AM ESTUpdated 16 Min AgoDeena ZaidiFred Imbert@foimbertWATCH LIVEIn this article @LCO.1 @CL.1 Oil prices edged lower on…
Stock markets climb in early trade led by foreign fund inflows, lower crude oil pricesTelangana Today · 33 h agoThursday, Nov 12, 2026 Hyderabad Telangana AP News India World Entertainment Sport Science and Tech Business Rewind ... NRI View Point cartoon My Space Education Today Reviews Property Lifestyle E-Paper NRI View Point cartoon My Space…
BSE Revises WTI Crude Oil Derivatives Contract Specificationsdeccanchronicle.com · 20 h agoMumbai: BSE Ltd, India's premier stock exchange, today announced modifications to its WTI Crude Oil derivatives contract specifications, aimed at improving trading flexibility, strengthening risk management capabilities and reducing…
Canadian Dollar holds ground despite lower oil pricesFXStreet · 12 h agoNEWS|11/13/2026 02:11:55 GMTCanadian Dollar holds ground despite lower oil prices USD/CAD remains steady as strong US CPI data boosts December Fed rate hike expectations. Hot US CPI data has reinforced expectations of a December Fed rate…
US crude oil inventories rise 4.657M barrels, defying forecastCrypto Briefing · 21 h agoSkip to content Log in Create account Fear & Greed28 FearCrypto market$2.44T−3.2%24h breadth19 up234 downBitcoin$71,323−3.6%Ethereum$1,999−3.6%Solana$81−4.3%XRP$1.02−4.5%BNB$652−4.6%Top gainersSECZ$9.06+6.2%GRAM$1.26+5.3%EXOD$4.32+3.8%Top…
Crude Oil Prices Fall Over 1.5% As Brent Slips To $91 Amid Iran Peace Hopes, Rising US InventoriesFree Press Journal · 33 h agoHomeBusinessCrude Oil Prices Fall Over 1.5% As Brent Slips To $91 Amid Iran Peace Hopes, Rising US Inventories Crude Oil Prices Fall Over 1.5% As Brent Slips To $91 Amid Iran Peace Hopes, Rising US Inventories Global crude oil prices…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onU.S. Energy Information Administration

Trading closesNov 18, 2026 10:29 AM ET

Traded$0 (0 contracts)

Followed here sinceNov 12, 2026

The rules

If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 13, 2026 are strictly above 409 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions