How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
The odds
7%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Dec 1, 20261%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 20272%
- Before Jul 1, 20273%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 20287%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Before Dec 1, 2026: 3% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 277.6K | |||
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 77.8K | |||
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1% | ▲ 1 | $100.00 | 215.1K | ||
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 211.5K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $45.45 | 1.4M | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 6.5K |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 7% | ▼ 2 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 6.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SAVE America Act
Search ›- Michigan Debate: El-Sayed Claims SAVE America Act ‘About Voter Suppression’Muslim leftist Michigan U.S. Senate candidate Abdulrahman El-Sayed on Wednesday rejected requiring proof of citizenship and voter ID for elections, calling GOP-led efforts to secure U.S. elections “about voter suppression.” El-Sayed…
- Thune makes final push in red states as he scrambles to save Republicans’ Senate majorityBut Republican candidates in marquee Senate races have welcomed Thune’s help as he’s traveled around the country in the weeks before the midterm elections, scrambling to save his majority. That includes Rep. Ashley Hinson in this deep red…
- Fani Willis Is a Victim of Voter Fraud: Details Are Hilarious but Show Again Why We Need Voter IDWe haven't heard much from Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis lately, and that's probably a good thing. You may recall all the drama in her effort to prosecute the 2020 election interference case against President Donald Trump and…
- Trump Casts Early In-Person Ballot After Attacks On Mail VotingPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot for the midterm elections in Palm Beach on Saturday, opting to vote early in his adopted home state of Florida. At rallies ahead of Election Day on Nov. 3, Trump has been urging Republicans to cast…
- President Donald Trump casts early in-person ballot after attacks on mail votingPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot for the midterm elections in Palm Beach on Saturday, opting to vote early in his adopted home state of Florida. At rallies ahead of Election Day on Nov. 3, Trump has been urging Republicans to cast…
- Investors would be barred from buying up single-family homes under new Treasury Dept ruleWASHINGTON — The US Treasury is issuing a proposed federal rule on Thursday to implement one of President Trump’s signature housing affordability bills that would bar institutional investors from buying single-family homes. In a notice of…
- Trump endorses Engling for Indiana secretary of state(WPTA) - U.S. President Donald Trump has endorsed Indiana’s Republican secretary of state candidate. Max Engling’s campaign made the announcement Friday, thanking the President for his support while reaffirming his commitment to protecting…
- US Midterms: Is Trump Running His Own Version Of SIR? Democrats Allege Bid To Purge Registered VotersFor Indians familiar with the controversy over the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls, a similar question about voter eligibility and the risk of excluding legitimate voters is now at the centre of a legal battle in the…
- Election Policy Landscape Stabilizes as Midterms Approach Part 2: Voter IdentificationR Street Institute Election Policy Landscape Stabilizes as Midterms Approach Part 2: Voter Identification This is the second installment in a multipart series on the current election policy landscape as we approach the 2026 midterms. Read…
- House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Governor to Explain Noncitizen Voter ErrorThe Republican leaders of the House Judiciary and Administration Committees have subpoenaed the administration of New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill, demanding answers on why 6,600 noncitizens remained registered to vote until 2026. Sherrill…
- U.S. Treasury Proposes New Rules Barring Investors From Buying Single-Family HomesThe U.S. Department of the Treasury proposed new rules aimed at making homeownership more affordable by putting new restrictions on large investors buying up single-family homes. The move is one of the first to implement the 21st Century…
- Illegal Immigrant in Terre Haute Accused of Voting in ElectionsThe charges against Francisco Aguilar Romero include felony violations for false or fraudulent voter registration, voting by an ineligible person, and perjury. TERRE HAUTE, Ind. — A man in Terre Haute is accused of registering and voting…
Related markets
All congress ›Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before 2027)
91%Before Nov 14, 2026
- Before Nov 14, 202691%▲ 10
- Before Nov 21, 202692%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202793%▼ 1
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
14.85%median
-100%100%
Median 14.85%Middle half 14.26% – 15.43%
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
95%At least 22
2023
Will a cabinet member be impeached? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
79%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202779%▲ 8
- Before Apr 1, 202793%▲ 13
- Before Jul 1, 202794%▲ 11
3 more
- Before Oct 1, 202794%▲ 5
- Before Jan 1, 202894%▲ 6
- Before Jan 20, 202994%▲ 2
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
38%chance▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions