The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
By Jan 1, 2032
11%
7¢
14¢
$7.14
1.7K
By Jan 1, 2035
16%
13¢
19¢
$5.26
1.2K
By Jan 1, 2040
18%
14¢
21¢
$4.76
649
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
With Change of Power, Serbia Can Reinvigorate EU Accession BidBalkan Insight · 3 days agoBalkan Insight “Catastrophic” - that’s how Dragana Djurica describes the current state of Serbia’s European Union accession process. On Wednesday, the bloc’s executive arm, the European Commission, delivered its annual assessment of the…
Ukraine's EU accession talks could advance significantly in 2027, diplomat saysRBC-Ukraine · 3 days agoUkraine is actively working on the negotiation clusters for EU accession. There is a possibility that they could be closed as early as next year, Ukraine's Ambassador to the EU, Taras Kachka, said at the event "Beyond the Headlines…
Igor Grosu promises to continue reforms for Moldova's EU accessionRadio Moldova · 4 days agoThe Republic of Moldova's progress across all 33 EU accession negotiating chapters reflects the efforts of state institutions over the past year, says Parliament Speaker Igor Grosu. He welcomed the European Commission’s enlargement report…
Armenia and the United Kingdom signed a defense cooperation program for 2026-2027ArmInfo · 4 days agoArmInfo Armenia and the United Kingdom signed a defense cooperation program for 2026-2027 ArmInfo. Bilateral defense consultations between Armenia and the United Kingdom took place in London. According to the press service of the Armenian…
Vietnam and the United Kingdom promote connectivity in commodity derivatives markets.vietnam.vn · 4 days agoOn the afternoon of November 6th, the British Embassy and Consulate General in Vietnam, in collaboration with Boston Consulting Group, organized an online seminar titled “UK - Vietnam: Developing the Commodity Derivatives Trading Market by…
Moldova and Ukraine will coordinate their efforts to advance EU accession talksipn.md · 4 days agoThe public sector pay system could be reformed by reducing the number of reference values used to calculate salaries, incorporating the fixed monthly allowance of 1,300 lei into basic pay, and introducing special pay arrangements for…
United Kingdom: HMRC clarifies VAT treatment of crypto-assetsGlobal VAT Compliance · 3 days agoThe UK’s tax authority, HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC), has published guidance explaining how existing VAT rules apply to crypto-asset transactions. As there are no specific VAT rules for crypto-assets, sellers must assess their…
Zelenskyy and Costa discuss Ukraine's EU accession and Abu Dhabi talksReport.az · 4 days agoReport.az Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy discussed Ukraine's bid to join the European Union and preparations for a trilateral meeting in Abu Dhabi with European Council President António Costa, Report informs, citing Zelenskyy's…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions