How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?
The odds
6%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 18% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.36 | 27.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Congress
Search ›- Capitol Hill welcomes newest members of CongressChief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram joins 'Fox Report’ to discuss how newly elected Congress members were in DC today for orientation. Capitol Hill welcomes newest members of Congress Chief congressional correspondent Chad…
- Newly elected members of Congress descend on DCDemocratic strategist Antjuan Seawright and GOP strategist Tim Parrish debate Democrats' priorities, the Electoral College and progressive policy proposals following the midterm elections. Newly elected members of Congress descend on DC…
- Newly elected lawmakers set for orientation for the incoming 120th CongressFox News' Chad Pergram reports on orientation for incoming House members in Washington, D.C., as leadership roles hang in the balance following the midterm elections. Newly elected lawmakers set for orientation for the incoming 120th…
- Trump prepares for a fight with Congress, assembling more combative White HouseLawmakers are returning to Washington, D.C., to a stunning new political reality, and President Trump is vowing to fight back against the new Congress after the midterm blowout. He spoke with 60 Minutes correspondent Ross Douthat and…
- Congress-Bound Admiral Fired by Pete Hegseth Weighs In on Impeaching HimNov 08, 2026 at 01:36 PM EST Democratic Representative-elect Nancy Lacore, the retired Navy admiral fired by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth last year, said there were “probably plenty” when asked about impeachable offenses involving the…
- America’s scientific future depends on what Congress does nextBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Congress must use its…
- Daughter of late Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee seeks to finish mother's term in CongressAugust 13, 2024 / 1:22 PM EDT / CBS News Washington — The daughter of former Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee, who died last month, announced late Monday that she intends to run to fill the Houston-area seat for the remainder of her mother's term…
- Week in politics: Democrats plan for the next Congress, Trump's new Chief of StaffDemocrats plans for the next Congress, where they'll hold significant majorities in both chambers. Meanwhile, President Trump signals his plans by promoting Stephen Miller as his new Chief of Staff. Week in politics: Democrats plan for the…
- Soros-backed PAC helped sweep ‘woke doctor’ Dems into CongressA dark-money backed group funded by lefty kingmakers George Soros and his son Alex helped propel a record number of Democratic doctors and scientists into Congress, where they are expected to inject woke, identity-driven, leftist ideology…
- How Trump can navigate the rest of his term with a Democratic CongressWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Winners and losers of historic midterm elections that handed Dems control of CongressThe midterm elections marked a historic shift in power, handing Democrats their biggest House gains since 1974 and control of the Senate. But inside the wave were candidates whose campaign heroics, epic stumbles and late-breaking twists…
- He Ran on Fighting Data Centers. Now, He’s Going to CongressWelcome back to Power Play! Senior writer Molly Taft has been tackling topics around this midterm season’s biggest issue: data centers. With the elections over, Power Play will be going on hiatus. But if you’ve got a question or thought…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions