Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
41%
▲ 1
37¢
44¢
$2.27
3.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Hear me out: maybe Norway should give Melania Trump the Nobel peace prizethe Guardian · 10 days agoThe first lady has been praised for ‘singlehandedly’ brokering a ceasefire in a Ukrainian city – though she might have had some help But despite his many trophies, there is one honour that has proved elusive: the Nobel peace prize. Trump…
Could Melania Trump Win Nobel Peace Prize Over Ukraine Ceasefire Deal?Newsweek · 12 days agoOct 28, 2026 at 02:36 PM EDT Oct 28, 2026 at 02:40 PM EDT First lady Melania Trump has helped to broker a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine around the occupied city of Oleshky. But could it pave the way for a Nobel Peace Prize? The…
Melania Trump steals Donald's spotlight in Nobel Peace Prize raceAlternet.org · 10 days agoFollowing First Lady Melania Trumpâs reported success in helping broker a temporary, localized ceasefire in Oleshky to allow humanitarian aid to reach the city and facilitate the evacuation of remaining civilians, some are questioning…
Donald Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize Obsession Gets an Unexpected Melania TwistReality Tea · 12 days agoDevanshi Basu is an Entertainment and Pop Culture Writer at Evolve Media with six years of experience in news and digital publishing. Her expertise spans pop culture, and political coverage, with a strong ability to translate them into…
Why Trump Expects the Nobel Peace Prizenationofchange.org · 12 days agoArmed Conflicts, Crime & Justice, Economy & Trade, Global, Headlines, Human Rights, Migration & Refugees, North America, Peace, TerraViva United Nations Much of the world has been bemused by US President Donald Trump’s expectation of the…
Trump makes sudden U-turn on Norway after X-rated attack over Nobel Peace Prize lossThe Mirror US · 14 days agoTrump raged at Norway because he didn't win the Nobel Peace Prize (Image: AFP via Getty Images) Donald Trump declared that immigrants from Norway are not actually welcome in the US, just hours after saying that they are, as he added the…
Norway Responds After Trump Slams 'S**thouse Country' Over Peace Prize LossHuffPost · 14 days agoThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. The president appeared personally affronted that the independent Nobel Committee once again awarded anyone other…
Video. Trump calls Norway a ‘shithouse country’ over Nobel Peace Prize snubeuronews · 14 days agoGo beyond the headlines with Euronews EU.XL — a deep dive into the EU’s key policies and decisions through videos, explainers, polls, and a chatbot answering your questions anytime and in your language Top News Stories Today US President…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions