Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
3%
▼ 1
1¢
5¢
$20.00
672
Before Jul 1, 2027
5%
▼ 1
3¢
7¢
$14.29
1.0K
Before Jan 1, 2028
8%
▼ 7
5¢
11¢
$9.09
536
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
‘Democracy always’: Lula vows no return to dictatorship in Brazil after election winthe Guardian · 14 days agoLeaders and governments worldwide congratulate Lula on dramatic comeback seen as an important signal to rest of Latin America Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, the Brazilian president, has vowed that dictatorship and fascism will never return to…
Peru, Uruguay advance preparations for upcoming papal visitucanews.com · 14 days agoAnticipation for Pope Leo XIV's visit to South America is building as Peru's president-elect pledged state cooperation and Uruguay's Church officials announced logistical plans for the U.S.-born pontiff's return to the region as pope. In a…
Brazil becomes next test for Latin America’s surging conservative movementFox News · 16 days agoFlavio Bolsonaro joined supporters in Santa Barbara D'Oeste to lead a motorcade. Polls in Brazil show a tight presidential race with incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. (Video: Reuters.) Brazil's estimated 158 million voters could advance…
Peru adopts IHRA definition of antisemitismIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 14 days agoPeru has adopted the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance (IHRA) working definition of antisemitism, Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar announced on Sunday. The move reflects a diplomatic realignment of center-right governments…
Sa’ar Hails Peru’s ‘Historic’ Adoption of IHRA Antisemitism DefinitionThe Media Line · 14 days agoPeru has adopted the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance (IHRA) working definition of antisemitism as part of its efforts to combat antisemitism, Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar announced. “I celebrate the historic decision…
2026 Walk to End Alzheimer's held in CharlestonYahoo News · 15 days agoA multi-agency forum says the plan will provide "guidance tailored to Jersey's own circumstances". AMSTERDAM, Oct 26 (Reuters) - The Dutch government said on Monday it would contribute up to $500 million over the next decade to an…
In their words: Left-leaning leaders in the Americas welcome Lula's victory in BrazilThe Korea Times · 15 days agoBrazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, the Workers' Party (PT) candidate for re-election, alongside his wife, Rosangela "Janja" da Silva, gestures as he addresses supporters after his victory in the presidential runoff election, at…
Topeka settles lawsuit with former city water worker for $34,999Yahoo News · 15 days agoTopeka city code requires a formal public vote of approval from the city's mayor and council to approve a lawsuit settlement only if it totals $35,000 or more. No vote was consequently required when city officials recently decided to pay a…
India emerges as major destination for trafficked orangutans and other endangered apesYahoo News · 15 days agoOct 26 (Reuters) - Rahul Gandhi, the leader of India's main opposition Congress party, was acquitted in a defamation case by a local court on Monday, TV channels said. By Oliver Griffin and Luciana Magalhaes SAO PAULO, Oct 26 (Reuters)…
‘Historic Victory’: World Leaders Celebrate Lula’s Re-ElectionKyiv Post · 15 days agoIn brief: Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won re-election with 51.8% of the vote, defeating Flávio Bolsonaro despite his refusal to concede. Leaders across Europe, Latin America and beyond congratulated Lula, hailing the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions