UK Nominal GDP in 2026
$4.27median
$3.30$4.60
Median $4.27Middle half $4.21 – $4.35
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China Nominal GDP in 2026
The odds
$21.83median
$19$22.40
Median $21.83Middle half $21.63 – $22.04
How the odds have moved
Median: $21.51 on Oct 20, $21.83 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $19.2 trillion | 99% | 98¢ | 697 | |||
| Above $19.4 trillion | 99% | 99¢ | 634 | |||
| Above $19.6 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 274 | |
| Above $19.8 trillion | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 299 | |
| Above $20.0 trillion | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.4K | |
| Above $20.2 trillion | 98% | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.4K | |
| Above $20.4 trillion | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 407 | |
| Above $20.6 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 357 | |
| Above $20.8 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 415 | |
| Above $21.0 trillion | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 677 | |
| Above $21.2 trillion | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 333 | |
| Above $21.4 trillion | 93% | 88¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 162 | |
| Above $21.6 trillion | 78% | 73¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 24.00 | |
| Above $21.8 trillion | 54% | ▲ 1 | 49¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 18.00 |
| Above $22.0 trillion | 29% | 24¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 28.00 | |
| Above $22.2 trillion | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 522 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GDP, economic growth, China Nominal GDP
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- FG Tasks Nigerians On Use Of Locally Made Technology For Economic GrowthThe Federal Government on Saturday called for wider adoption of locally developed technologies, saying increased use of indigenous innovations could stimulate economic growth through domestic manufacturing, create jobs and address some of…
- Americans still struggling despite economic growth, wealth management CEO warnsStrategic Wealth Partners CEO Mark Tepper discusses inflation, the impact of energy policies on consumer costs and why affordability remains a key issue ahead of the midterms. Americans still struggling despite economic growth, wealth…
- NK's economic growth is 'temporary' thanks to Russia-Ukraine war, study saysPeople look around the National Garment and Footwear Exhibition in Pyongyang, Oct. 21. AP-Yonhap North Korea’s recent economic growth in the 3 percent range was a “temporary war windfall” from the Russia-Ukraine war that would potentially…
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- AI-related investment, consumers likely boosted US economic growth in third quarterUS economic growth likely accelerated in the third quarter as resilient consumer spending and AI-driven business investment more than offset the impact of higher oil prices stemming from the conflict in the Middle East. "People are very…
- Delegates proposed solutions to improve the quality of economic growth.Members of Parliament proposed a thorough assessment of growth drivers, improved investment efficiency, removal of policy barriers, and increased adaptability for businesses. On the morning of October 31st, continuing the program of the…
- Spending on data centre fit-outs fuelling economic growth, claims AIBSpending on data centre fit-outs is now one of the key drivers of Irish economic growth, AIB has said. In its latest economic bulletin, the bank said it expected the economy to grow at a “solid pace” of 3.8 per cent this year and 3.1 per…
- Ethiopia’s energy ambitions offer major opportunities for economic growth and regional leadership, IEA review findsThe Middle East and Global Energy Markets Russia's War on Ukraine Understand and manipulate data with easy to use explorers and trackers Free and paid data sets from across the energy system available for download Past, existing or planned…
Related markets
All growth & recession ›US Nominal GDP in 2026
$32.73median
$28.80$33.20
Median $32.73Middle half $32.63 – $32.85
Australia Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.28median
$1.50$2.80
Median $2.28Middle half $2.06 – $2.46
Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.61median
$2$3.30
Median $2.61Middle half $2.54 – $2.67
Canada Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.47median
$2$3.30
Median $2.47Middle half $2.43 – $2.52
France Nominal GDP in 2026
$3.50median
$3.10$4.60
Median $3.50Middle half $3.45 – $3.56
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions