US Nominal GDP in 2026
$32.73median
$28.80$33.20
Median $32.73Middle half $32.63 – $32.85
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UK Nominal GDP in 2026
The odds
$4.27median
$3.30$4.60
Median $4.27Middle half $4.21 – $4.35
How the odds have moved
Median: $4.21 on Oct 5, $4.27 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $3.4 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 96.00 | ||
| Above $3.5 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 95.00 | ||
| Above $3.6 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 250 | ||
| Above $3.7 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 280 | ||
| Above $3.8 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 2.0K | ||
| Above $3.9 trillion | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | 4.1K | ||
| Above $4.0 trillion | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.7K | |
| Above $4.1 trillion | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.0K | |
| Above $4.2 trillion | 78% | 73¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 75.00 | |
| Above $4.3 trillion | 38% | 21¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 121 | |
| Above $4.4 trillion | 11% | 7¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 70.00 | |
| Above $4.5 trillion | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GDP, economic growth, UK Nominal GDP
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Related markets
All growth & recession ›Australia Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.28median
$1.50$2.80
Median $2.28Middle half $2.06 – $2.46
Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.61median
$2$3.30
Median $2.61Middle half $2.54 – $2.67
Canada Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.47median
$2$3.30
Median $2.47Middle half $2.43 – $2.52
China Nominal GDP in 2026
$21.83median
$19$22.40
Median $21.83Middle half $21.63 – $22.04
France Nominal GDP in 2026
$3.50median
$3.10$4.60
Median $3.50Middle half $3.45 – $3.56
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions