Install
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
The odds
How the odds have moved
Yes: 35% on Oct 4, 32% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32% | 30¢ | 34¢ | $2.96 | 183.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump Presidency
Search ›- Voters say midterms are referendum on Trump's presidencyCBS News Voters say midterms are referendum on Trump's presidency What are voters’ top concerns? Center Township Water Authority continues to investigate source of E. coli contamination Brashear High School raises over $1,000 for the KDKA…
- The Simpsons Prediction 2027: Trump's Presidency Warning, OpenAI Spy Scandal and AI Takeover Fears Reignite DebateVideos linking The Simpsons to 2027 are reigniting debate about Donald Trump's presidency, an alleged OpenAI surveillance attempt and fears about artificial intelligence. 2027 refers to online claims, not an explicit Simpsons forecast. A…
- Ossoff Says Victory Is Rebuke to Trump PresidencyYahoo! Finance Canada Oops, something went wrong Canada markets open in 2h 15m Ossoff Says Victory Is Rebuke to Trump Presidency "The American people have rebuked the depravity, corruption and incompetence of the failed, lame-duck…
- Transcript: Trump Presidency on Life Support as Blue Wave Drowns MAGAThe following is a lightly edited transcript of the November 4 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here. We’re talking to New Republic editor Michael Tomasky about all of it. Mike, what a night. Michael Tomasky: Incredible. I…
- Obama celebrates the Democratic victory and issues a warning about the next two years of Trump's presidencyWednesday, November 4, 2026 - 09:47 Barack Obama celebrated this Wednesday the decisive victory of the Democratic Party in the midterm elections in the United States and issued a message about what his party should do during the remaining…
- John Solomon: "I’ve seen more accountability activity before grand juries and in courts in the last eight weeks than I saw, quite frankly, in the first six years of the two Trump presidencies." [TRANSCRIPT of 4 minute Glenn Beck interview]TRANSCRIPT BEGINS~~~ [The Glenn Beck Program, around October 14, 2026] Glenn Beck: What’s going to come out of this, John? What is your feeling on this one? I have detected, since the beginning of the White House Task Force, a new…
- US Midterm Elections: Democrats Win Both Houses Of Congress, What It Means For Trump's PresidencyWhile some contests remain undecided, the results are expected to reshape the final two years of Trump’s presidency, giving Democrats greater power to scrutinise his administration and challenge his legislative agenda. Democrats overturned…
- Trump Presidency on Life Support after Blue Tsunami’s Reach Shocks GOPIn a stunning series of outcomes, Democrats won control of the House and Senate on Tuesday. They’re projected to take control of at least 244 House seats, per NBC, and as of now, they’ve flipped Senate seats in South Carolina, Ohio, Texas…
- Polls begin closing in midterms set to roil Trump presidencyPublished on November 4, 2026 at 00:17 Polls began closing Tuesday in US midterms with Democrats poised to seize the House and potentially the Senate, threatening to shatter Donald Trump's grip on Washington and curtail his power for the…
- Americans Vote In Election That Could Reshape Trump PresidencyPolls predict the Democrats will win a majority in the House of Representatives and possibly seize the Senate WASHINGTON: Millions of Americans voted Tuesday in a midterm election seen as a referendum on Donald Trump that could wrest…
- Americans vote in midterms set to upend Trump presidencyWashington, United States: Americans voted on Tuesday in pivotal midterm elections with Democrats hoping to seize control of Congress and impose the first significant checks on Donald Trump's chaotic second term in the White House…
- How Americans Vote in Midterms Could Reshape Trump's PresidencyMillions of Americans voted Tuesday in a midterm election seen as a referendum on Donald Trump that could wrest control of Congress from Republicans and impose major restraints on the president's remaining two years in office. Polls…
Related markets
All growth & recession ›US recession by end of 2026?
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
Will Iowa corn production rise YoY? (2026)
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
Will Montana cattle inventory rise YoY? (January 1, 2027)
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions