NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%
- Greg Murphy16%
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Who will be House Republican Whip in the 120th Congress? (For the 120th Congress)
The odds
89%Tom Emmer
- Tom Emmer89%▲ 2
- August Pfluger1%▼ 13
How the odds have moved
Tom Emmer: 80% on Nov 6, 89% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Emmer | 89% | ▲ 2 | 86¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 6.8K |
| August Pfluger | 1% | ▼ 13 | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House Republican Whip, Tom Emmer, August Pfluger
Search ›- August Pfluger to challenge Emmer for GOP whip post: ReportHe will likely face off against Tom Emmer, who currently serves as majority whip. August Pfluger to challenge Emmer for GOP whip post: Report He will likely face off against Tom Emmer, who currently serves as majority whip. Rep. August…
- Tom Emmer wins reelection in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District race, CBS News projectsNovember 4, 2026 / 6:54 AM CST / CBS Minnesota Emmer, the third-highest-ranking member of Congress, has represented the district since 2015. He won decisively over Michael Foley and Chris Corey in August's primary. He was endorsed by the…
- Reporter's Notebook: A user’s manual to upcoming leadership elections in the House and SenateSeveral newly elected Democratic senators suggest they are not committed to supporting Sen. Chuck Schumer as Senate Majority Leader. Fox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on the Democratic Party’s priorities and…
- Rep Tom Emmer says Vance has been campaign 'workhorse' during midtermsFox News Rep Tom Emmer says Vance has been campaign 'workhorse' during midterms House Majority Whip Tom Emmer discusses Vice President JD Vance's "incredibly impressive" schedule on the campaign trail, Republican turnout and the tight…
- Republican August Pfluger wins reelection to U.S. House in Texas' 11th Congressional DistrictDemocrat Gina Hinojosa elected Texas' first Latina governor, ousts Republican incumbent Greg Abbott Democrat James Talarico flips a US Senate seat in Texas and sends a shock through the GOP - Gordonville driver killed in head-on crash on…
- Another GOP civil war erupts as two Trump allies fight to lead Republicans in a lame duck Congress… but the president refuses to support anyoneBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER 'Anyone who was a part of what just happened shouldn't be in power.' That was the blunt verdict from one conservative House aide as Republicans picked through the wreckage of their midterm drubbing…
- Tom Emmer Calls for Common Sense in Minnesota Senate RaceTom Emmer urges Minnesota voters to choose Michele Tafoya for Senate. This election could reshape state politics — here's why it matters. Tom Emmer emphasizes common sense in Minnesota's Senate race. Michele Tafoya gains support from key…
- GOP scrambles for power on Capitol Hill(The Daily Signal) – With Republicans headed into the minority in both chambers, candidates for leadership are earnestly making their cases while GOP staffers quietly size them up. The race opened early Wednesday as House Speaker Mike…
- House Republicans Have No Clue Who Will Lead ThemTwo current members of leadership are running for the top spots but their challengers argue it’s time for a change. November 4, 2026 05:24 p.m. After Tuesday’s election massacre, the House Republican Conference is in chaos and it’s now an…
- Mike Johnson Steps Down as House GOP LeaderMike Johnson is hanging up the gavel in the wake of the blue wave that swept the House of Representatives on Tuesday. The House speaker told staff on a private call Wednesday... Mike Johnson Steps Down as House GOP Leader Mike Johnson is…
- How Former Airmen Fared in the 2026 Midterm ElectionsFourteen former Airmen were elected to Congress in the 2026 midterms, which overturned leadership for the next Congress. Two more are leading in unresolved contests, so that if both win their races, there could be as many as 17 veterans in…
- Mike Johnson steps aside as House Republicans prepare leadership contestWASHINGTON (Diya TV) — Speaker Mike Johnson will not seek a Republican leadership post in the next Congress, leaving House Republicans to choose a new leader after Democrats won control of the chamber in Tuesday’s midterm elections. The…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions