Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
99%
99¢
99¢
497.2K
Bernadette Wilson
1%
1¢
1¢
$90.91
256.1K
Bill Walker
<1%
1¢
$100.00
15.1K
Lesil McGuire
<1%
1¢
$100.00
6.4K
Tom Begich
<1%
0¢
275.1K
Mary Peltola
<1%
0¢
22.0K
Click Bishop
<1%
0¢
39.4K
Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%
0¢
16.4K
Edna DeVries
<1%
0¢
3.9K
Dave Bronson
<1%
0¢
71.8K
Shelley Hughes
<1%
0¢
7.8K
Matt Heilala
<1%
0¢
14.8K
Matthew Claman
<1%
0¢
6.7K
Adam Crum
<1%
0¢
19.8K
Treg Taylor
<1%
0¢
89.5K
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
0¢
4.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska Governor, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Bernadette Wilson
Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins reflects on lead in Alaska governor’s raceAlaska Public Media · 4 days agoLone Democratic candidate Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins remains in the lead in the race for Alaska governor. The former state representative from Sitka spent election night in Downtown Anchorage, watching results roll in with a crowd of 350…
Kalshi projects Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins wins Alaska governor raceKalshi News · 6 days agoThe Democrat led Kalshi's market after the August primary, trading near 88% in the final week. Kalshi projects Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) will win the 2026 Alaska governor race, defeating Bernadette Wilson (R). Traders on Kalshi priced…
Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads in Alaska governor’s raceAlaska Public Media · 5 days agoDemocrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state representative from Sitka, has a substantial lead in the race for governor. With 84% of precincts reporting, Kreiss-Tomkins leads with 49% of the vote. “We’re pretty pleased with the numbers…
Alaska Governor resultsAP News · 5 days agoLive results for the 2026 Alaska Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178…
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins likely to become Alaska’s first Democratic governor since 2002Kodiak Daily Mirror · 5 days agoWhile 393 of 400 precincts have reported results from Election Day, thousands of early and absentee votes remain to be counted in coming days. Kreiss-Tomkins and three Republicans — Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson and Treg Taylor —…
Alaska governor’s race heats up as Kreiss-Tomkins takes the leadYour Alaska Link · 5 days agoYour Alaska Link Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is leading Alaskaâs governorâs race with 49% of the votes, followed by Bernadette Wilson with 29%. Kreiss-Tomkins celebrated with supporters in downtown Anchorage, expressing confidence in his…
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins answers questions before voting@AKNewsNow · 6 days agoAlaska's News Source Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins answers questions before voting Heavy rain heads to Southeast while cooler air moves across the rest of Alaska
Alaska governor candidates await results as vote count continues@AKNewsNow · 5 days agoANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Republican Bernadette Wilson each said they believe they will become Alaska’s 13th governor while results are still being counted. Both candidates have plans for their first…
Trump renews ‘complete and total’ endorsement of Bernadette Wilson on Election DayAlaska Story · 6 days agoHome » Trump renews ‘complete and total’ endorsement of Bernadette Wilson on Election Day Nov. 3, 2026 – President Donald Trump delivered an Election Day push for Bernadette Wilson, renewing his endorsement of the Republican candidate for…
Alaska’s next governor could recall 34 National Guard members from DCAlaska Story · 3 days agoHome » Alaska’s next governor could recall 34 National Guard members from DC Nov. 6, 2026 – Thirty-four Alaska National Guard members are serving in Washington, DC, on a mission Gov. Mike Dunleavy approved at the Trump administration’s…
Bernadette Wilson talks about her campaign@AKNewsNow · 6 days agoAlaska's News Source Bernadette Wilson talks about her campaign Sullivan says Blue Wave will not hit Alaska Alaskans are turning out to vote across the state
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions