South Dakota Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2.3K today · $74.6K traded · $59K at stake · prices read 12 min ago

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The odds

25.5median
339
Median 25.5Middle half 24.7 – 26.3

How the odds have moved

Median: 19.9 on Oct 20, 25.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Rhoden, 6+ pts >99% 99¢ 21.2K
Rhoden, 9+ pts >99% 99¢ 2.1K
Rhoden, 12+ pts >99% 99¢ 17.2K
Rhoden, 15+ pts 99% ▼ 2 94¢ $1.01 4.0K
Rhoden, 18+ pts 99% ▲ 1 100¢ $1.01 10.1K
Rhoden, 21+ pts 99% ▲ 3 99¢ $1.01 20.1K
Rhoden, 24+ pts 99% ▲ 1 99¢ $1.01 617
Rhoden, 27+ pts <1% 99¢ 941
Rhoden, 30+ pts <1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 317
Rhoden, 33+ pts <1% ▼ 1 1¢ 2.1K
Rhoden, 36+ pts <1% ▼ 1 1¢ 1.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: South Dakota Governor

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  • South Dakota's governor's race tops $16.5 million in spendingSDPB · 12 days agoSouth Dakota’s governor’s race is seeing big dollars spent. All five candidates this cycle spent a combined $16.6 million vying for the seat. SDPB looked at 2025 year-end, pre-primary and pre-general filings. U.S. Representative Dusty…
  • Candidate Profile: Larry Rhoden for South Dakota Governor@ktivnews · 13 days agoLarry Rhoden is one of two candidates on the ballot, running for South Dakota Governor. (KTIV) - Larry Rhoden is a Republican candidate on the ballot, running for South Dakota Governor. The 2026 General Election is scheduled for Tuesday…
  • Rhoden, Rounds distance themselves from Trump ahead of midterms@kotatweets · 11 days agoRAPID CITY, S.D. (KOTA) - Republican candidates running for some of South Dakota’s top state and federal offices are distancing themselves from President Trump online and in their messaging. This comes as the GOP faces a potentially tough…
  • Bengs Brings His US Senate Campaign To Yankton, Vermillion MondayYankton Press & Dakotan · 14 days agoSouth Dakota independent U.S. Senate candidate Brian Bengs speaks at a town hall meeting held at the Yankton Community Library Monday afternoon. Bengs also did a town hall event in Vermillion. Brian Bengs says he is running for a U.S…
  • South Dakota 2026 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 18 days ago2026 results › South Dakota General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in South Dakota close at 9 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the…
  • Kristi Noem Takes Senior Adviser Role at State DepartmentExecutive Gov · 18 days agoFormer Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem will serve as a senior adviser at the State Department after her six-month appointment as special envoy for the Shield of the Americas program expired. Noem confirmed the appointment’s…
  • Gov. Rhoden Deploys Guardsmen to Southern BorderSouth Dakota War College · 19 days ago?We have the most secure border in American history! But there is still more work to do, and we cannot give up the fight,” said Governor Larry Rhoden. “I am proud of our brave guardsmen for serving with strength and courage. Their mission…
  • Kristi Noem Takes New State Department Role After Homeland Security ExitKOTA · 19 days agoWASHINGTON, D.C. – Former South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem is back in a federal government role. Noem has been named a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau. According to a source familiar with the appointment…
  • Mullin’s Wife Caught Up in Free-Flight Scandal That Has Critics Bringing Up Kristi NoemAtlanta Black Star · 19 days agoDonald Trump’s administration has a luxury aircraft problem. The president first raised concerns when he accepted a $400 million jet from the Qatari government in 2025. He took his first flight on the renovated aircraft in July. His use of…
  • Governor helps cut ribbon on new Single Engine Air Tanker baseDaily Dispatch · 20 days agoDailyDispatch.com Home » Fire News » South Dakota Fire News » Governor helps cut ribbon on new Single Engine Air Tanker base South Dakota Governor Larry Rhoden was on hand to cut the ribbon on the new Single Engine Air Tanker (SEAT) Base…
  • Poll shows Rhoden leading Ahlers in race for South Dakota governorSDPB · 21 days agoA new poll says incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden is leading Democrat challenger Dan Ahlers in the race for South Dakota governor. The poll shows Rhoden with 56 percent support, compared to 36 percent for Ahlers. Eight percent are…
  • South Dakota Tribes Among Hardest Hit by Trump/Musk CutsDakota Free Press · 20 days agoAs Elon Musk and Donald Trump turn their attention to openly betraying Ukraine, we should remember how those two billionaires have betrayed America’s own oppressed victims of invasion, our American Indian brothers and sisters. Kevin…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions