Predictions › Elections Governors odds Every Governors market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
7,691 open markets · $13.9M traded today Trending governors markets
Cindy Holscher >99% Ty Masterson <1%
16 64
Median 50.7 Middle half 49.8 – 51.5
Cindy Holscher (D) 99% Ty Masterson (R) <1%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 99% Bernadette Wilson 1% Click Bishop <1% David Bronson <1% 18 more Adam Crum <1% Nancy Dahlstrom <1% Edna DeVries <1% Matt Heilala <1% Shelley Hughes <1% James Parkin <1% Treg Taylor <1% Lisa Murkowski <1% Tom Begich <1% Mary Peltola <1% Hank Kroll <1% Bruce Walden <1% Matt Claman <1% Lesil McGuire <1% Gregg Brelsford <1% Jessica Faircloth <1% Destry J. Payne Sr. <1% Bill Walker <1%
0 18
Median 8.47 Middle half 8.18 – 8.76
Democratic party 99% Republican party 1%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 99% Bernadette Wilson 1% Bill Walker <1% Lesil McGuire <1% 12 more Tom Begich <1% Mary Peltola <1% Click Bishop <1% Nancy Dahlstrom <1% Edna DeVries <1% Dave Bronson <1% Shelley Hughes <1% Matt Heilala <1% Matthew Claman <1% Adam Crum <1% Treg Taylor <1% Lisa Murkowski <1%
0 21
Median 1.46 Middle half 1.18 – 1.73
-1 18
Median 10.5 Middle half 9.73 – 11.3
6 39
Median 31.4 Middle half 30.6 – 32.2
3 39
Median 25.5 Middle half 24.7 – 26.3
34% 56%
Median 52.97% Middle half 52.46% – 53.49%
11 41
Median 24.5 Middle half 23.7 – 25.3
0 16
Median 8.50 Middle half 7.71 – 9.30
-2 22
Median 7.52 Middle half 7.25 – 7.79
42% 64%
Median 50.9% Middle half 50.32% – 51.47%
-1 29
Median 12.5 Middle half 11.7 – 13.3
52% 70%
Median 65.24% Middle half 64.56% – 65.92%
38% 60%
Median 51.02% Middle half 50.44% – 51.6%
-2 13
Median 8.48 Middle half 7.66 – 9.31
40% 62%
Median 55.03% Middle half 54.47% – 55.58%
-1 29
Median 9.47 Middle half 8.65 – 10.3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions