How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.2median
-850
Median 26.2Middle half 23.1 – 29.4
Install
Government shutdown in 2027?
The odds
79%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 56% on Nov 6, 79% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 8, 11 PM ET67% → 79%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 79% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 7.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: government shutdown, shutdown, Government
Search ›- Legal battle over SNAP continues as Congress moves to end government shutdownThe Supreme Court on Tuesday extended an order blocking full SNAP payments, amid signals that the government shutdown could soon end and food aid payments resume. The US Supreme Court’s ruling late Tuesday was issued on a request from the…
- Another Government Shutdown? Plus: Will New Dem Govs Pull Troops From DC? And More Questions for Monday.Good morning. A sunny, windy day with a high temperature around 63 awaits. A low near 40 overnight. The Wizards visit Detroit this evening. Slippers, “Wants for Everyone.” Some lovely, vintage-sounding indie pop from this LA concern, which…
- Government shutdown won't affect your 2026 tax returnThe U.S. government may be partially shut down, but that will not affect your 2026 tax filing, according to the Internal Revenue Service. Earlier this month, the government agency shared on its website that operations will continue per…
- Wall Street indexes end slightly higher as US government shutdown loomsWall Street's three major indexes managed to close Tuesday's choppy session higher, also marking quarterly and monthly gains, even as investors braced for a U.S. government shutdown, which would delay key economic reports and muddy the…
- Federal government shutdown: Day-by-day recapThe federal government shut down on Wednesday, Oct. 1, after the Senate failed to pass a funding extension to keep the government open. Look back at how each day of the shutdown has unfolded. The federal government shut down on Wednesday…
- TSA agents work without first paycheck in paritial government shutdownThe Lufkin Daily News The Air Traffic Control tower at Ronald Reagan International Airport in Arlington, Virginia., U.S., March 15, 2026. REUTERS/Aaron Schwartz - Two Lufkinites among those arrested in connection with 2022 Lakes Area Pawn…
- Congress returns with government funding, Pete Hegseth and the debt limit on the agendaThe House and Senate are due to return to Washington on Monday with a crowded legislative agenda in the final weeks before the end of the 119th Congress. Congress will need to act quickly to extend government funding, which expires Dec…
- FILE PHOTO: BWI TSA lines stretch outside as partial government shutdown continuesThe Daily News | Texas' Oldest Newspaper - Families file lawsuits over Texas City custody deaths - Texas Land Commissioner Dawn Buckingham loses to Democratic challenger - Incumbents sweep League City election, one runoff planned - THC…
- Democrats Weigh Shutdown Over Iran WarPunchbowl News: “What was supposed to be a hectic lame-duck session is now a power struggle between ascendant Democrats and President Donald Trump. The odds of a government shutdown have increased dramatically since Democrats’ big win on…
- Congress returns to brutal lame-duck stretch with shutdown deadline, leadership races: 'Closet is full of s—'Several newly elected Democratic senators suggest they are not committed to supporting Sen. Chuck Schumer as Senate Majority Leader. Lawmakers are back on Capitol Hill this week for the first time since the midterm elections, and…
- After losing Congress, Republicans have one last shot to pass their agendaBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Lawmakers return to…
- Partnership for Public Service statement on the longest government shutdown in American historyWASHINGTON – The nonpartisan, nonprofit Partnership for Public Service today released the following statement from President and CEO Max Stier as the Partnership for Public Service statement on the longest government shutdown in American…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions