How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth? (Before Jan 3, 2027)
The odds
228.1median
205260
Median 228.1Middle half 214.1 – 242.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 215.7 on Nov 7, 228.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 210 | 87% | ▲ 4 | 84¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 97.00 |
| Above 215 | 73% | ▼ 10 | 66¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 727 |
| Above 220 | 73% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 1.8K |
| Above 225 | 61% | ▲ 5 | 40¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 856 |
| Above 230 | 43% | ▲ 8 | 30¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 383 |
| Above 240 | 28% | ▲ 8 | 12¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 374 |
| Above 250 | 16% | ▲ 5 | 12¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 1.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: impeachment, Pete Hegseth, House
Search ›- Rep. Thomas Massie moves to impeach Pete HegsethCBS News Atlanta is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WUPA and channel 69, CBS News Atlanta offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Rep. Thomas Massie…
- Could Pete Hegseth be impeached?CBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Could Pete…
- Republican Thomas Massie moves to force vote to impeach Pete HegsethUS representative accuses defense secretary of illegally waging war without congressional authorization and abusing his powersUS politics live – latest updatesA Republican lawmaker has moved to force a vote to impeach Pete Hegseth, the US…
- Why lawmakers are pushing to impeach Pete HegsethA key Republican lawmaker introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth this week in a move that could make him the third Cabinet official in US history to be impeached. Here’s what to know about the process the…
- Thomas Massie files articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete HegsethRep. Thomas Massie has reintroduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, setting up a vote in the House of Representatives in the next two days. The Kentucky Republican's resolution accuses Hegseth of high crimes…
- Pete Hegseth Orders Military Education Overhaul as Impeachment LoomsNov 09, 2026 at 12:45 PM EST Nov 09, 2026 at 01:18 PM EST Pete Hegseth has ordered a sweeping overhaul of the U.S. military's professional education system, directing Pentagon leaders to prioritize combat readiness and warfighting skills…
- Top House Democrat says he’s a ‘hard yes’ on Pete Hegseth impeachmentBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. “Pete Hegseth has got…
- Thomas Massie Introduces Articles Of Impeachment Against Pete HegsethKentucky Republican Congressman Thomas Massie introduced a measure to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, accusing him of abusing his powers and violatin... - Global Iran WarRussia-UkraineMiddle EastChina And AsiaLive BlogBetter…
- Congress returns to Capitol; Pete Hegseth could face impeachment voteCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Congress returns to…
- GOP Rep. Massie files articles of impeachment against US Defense Secretary Pete HegsethKentucky GOP Rep. Thomas Massie introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on the House floor on Monday. A House vote on the articles is expected by Wednesday. GOP Rep. Massie files articles of impeachment…
- Congressman Thomas Massie files articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete HegsethRep. Thomas Massie on Monday introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, accusing him of waging war against Iran without congressional authorization and abusing the powers of his office. Congressman Thomas…
- GOP Rep. Thomas Massie unveils impeachment articles against Defense Secretary Pete HegsethBREAKING: Rep. Thomas Massie files articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., on Monday reintroduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over the U.S. war with Iran…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions