How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.4median
-850
Median 26.4Middle half 23.2 – 29.6
Install
Who will be Chair of House Financial Services? (For the 120th Congress)
The odds
79%Maxine Waters
- Maxine Waters79%
- Sean Casten8%▼ 1
- Bill Foster5%
- Brad Sherman4%
- French Hill2%
How the odds have moved
Maxine Waters: 90% on Oct 22, 79% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxine Waters | 79% | 76¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 3.6K | |
| Sean Casten | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.9K |
| Bill Foster | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.7K | |
| Brad Sherman | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 289 | |
| French Hill | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 2.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chair of House Financial Services, Maxine Waters, Sean Casten
Search ›- Employ America's Statement on Federal Reserve Oversight and the Next Chair of the House Financial Services CommitteeOne of the most important and underrated responsibilities of the House Financial Services Committee is oversight of the Federal Reserve, particularly through the semiannual Humphrey-Hawkins hearings. This responsibility is all the more…
- Maxine Waters Wins Another Term at 88 Years Old to Become the Oldest Member of CongressNationwide — Maxine Waters has won reelection to California’s 43rd Congressional District, extending her decades-long career in the U.S. House of Representatives. At the age of 88, she is set […] The post Maxine Waters Wins Another Term at…
- Rep. Maxine Waters calls for stricter crypto regulations targeting Trump projectsEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
- Maxine Waters Wins Reelection, Becomes Oldest Congress MemberMaxine Waters, a longtime congresswoman for Southern California, has won reelection in California's 43rd Congressional District, according to NBC News. Waters, who turned 88 in August, defeated Republican challenger Cristian Morales by a…
- Maxine Waters wins reelection, set to become oldest member of Congress, NBC News projectsCongresswoman Maxine Waters wins reelection to California’s 43rd Congressional District, likely defeating her relatively unknown Republican challenger by a large margin, NBC News projected Tuesday. Among nearly 55% of the expected ballots…
- Maxine Waters, 88, Wins Reelection in South LA's 43rd District AgainMaxine Waters is headed back to Washington. The 88-year-old Democrat has won reelection to represent California's 43rd Congressional District, which stretches across Inglewood, Compton, Hawthorne and Torrance, extending a congressional…
- Democrat Sean Casten wins reelection to U.S. House in Illinois' 6th Congressional DistrictDemocrat Roy Cooper wins North Carolina Senate seat, flipping a key GOP-held seat Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff wins reelection, defeating Rep. Mike Collins to hold a key Democratic seat Cooper flips Senate seat in North Carolina as Democrats…
- Democrats rout Republicans; no muni champions lost in HouseThe historic blue wave predicted by the polls swept over the country Tuesday as Democrats won control of the 120th Congress by large margins and flipped governor seats in several Republican states. Municipal market lobbyists used the words…
- Waters Touts Experience to Fend Off Financial Services ChallengerBloomberg Law News House Financial Services ranking member Rep. Maxine Waters officially launched her campaign Friday to lead the panel a day after Rep. Sean Casten of Illinois said he would challenge her for the top Democratic spot on the…
- Wall Street facing 'nightmare' scenario after GOP rout: 'Hard to imagine it’s good news'The Republican Party wipeout on Tuesday, which handed both chambers of Congress to the Democrats, is set to put Wall Street under fresh scrutiny from one of its most vocal critics. According to the Wall Street Journal, Sen. Elizabeth…
- Top House financial services Democrat seeks return to committee chair, letter saysSaturday November 07, 2026 Maxine Waters, the long-serving top Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, called today (6 November) for her fellow Democratic lawmakers to return her to the committee's chair as her party plans…
- Morning Minute: Democrat Sweep Pumps Crypto as Clarity Act Resurfaces🗳️ Democrat Sweep Pumps Crypto as Market Structure Bill Resurfaces Bitcoin spent Tuesday night under $76,000, a seven-week low, with traders bracing for whatever a Democratic Congress meant for crypto. By Wednesday afternoon it was back…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions