Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Dec 12, 2026
8%
5¢
10¢
$10.00
1.9K
Before Jan 26, 2027
11%
7¢
15¢
$6.67
4.00
Before Apr 1, 2027
16%
12¢
20¢
$5.00
Before Jan 1, 2028
26%
▲ 1
22¢
30¢
$3.33
80.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Canada needs to expel U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra immediatelyCult MTL · 7 days agoPete Hoekstra will likely go down as the single most reviled American ambassador ever sent to Canada. A petition to expel him from the county already has over 280,000 signatures. There’s good reason for this: he keeps saying inflammatory…
Opinion | When it comes to the art of diplomacy, Pete Hoekstra is a space cadetToronto Star · 7 days agoU.S. Ambassador to Canada Pete Hoekstra speaks during a fireside chat at the SpaceBound 2026 Conference in Gatineau, Que., on Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026. A perfect embodiment of the U.S. government behaviours likely to kneecap Republicans in…
Raggi meets Canadian Senate Speaker, Arab Ambassadors in OttawaMTV Lebanon · 3 days agoMTV Lebanon Raggi meets Canadian Senate Speaker, Arab Ambassadors in Ottawa Trump: A decision must be made on whether to proceed with further measures or approve the agreement Yedioth Ahronoth: The Israeli army has drawn up an offensive…
Canadians didn’t threaten our elections, but the accusations didCascadiaDaily · 4 days agoWith the U.S. mid-term elections in the rearview mirror, it is worth taking stock of the unprecedented attempts at election interference we just experienced. Its spread was far and wide. Democrats worked to stack the ballot in Alaska…
- BNN BloombergBNN · 3 days ago‘Canada will go to the table when the deal is good for Canada’: Is reaching a trade deal a priority? BNN Bloomberg ‘Canada will go to the table when the deal is good for Canada’: Is reaching a trade deal a priority? The Front Bench panel…
Canada's federal budget includes billions for sovereignty and tackling homelessnessBBC News · 4 days agoPrime Minister Mark Carney has taken advantage of an oil revenue windfall to include tens of billions of dollars in new spending in his second federal budget, which focuses on building national sovereignty and addressing the high cost of…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions