How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.4
Install
Will Congress add seats to the House before 2030?
The odds
7%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 10% on Nov 6, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House
Search ›- Trump prepares for a fight with Congress, assembling more combative White HouseLawmakers are returning to Washington, D.C., to a stunning new political reality, and President Trump is vowing to fight back against the new Congress after the midterm blowout. He spoke with 60 Minutes correspondent Ross Douthat and…
- What happens if there's a tie vote in the House?Updated on: July 2, 2025 / 10:33 PM EDT / CBS News The House began voting July 2, 2025, on whether to open debate for a sprawling Trump-backed domestic spending bill, but some GOP holdouts could endanger its passage. With such close…
- Top House Democrat 'a hard yes' on impeaching HegsethHakeem Jeffries, the Democratic minority leader in Congress who is posed to become House speaker The lawmaker in pole position to lead the US House of Representatives after Democrats take control of Congress in January has said he is "a…
- White House doctor says President Trump is in "excellent" healthUpdated on: January 16, 2018 / 6:20 PM EST / CBS News Rear Adm. Ronny Jackson, M.D., the official physician to the president, gave President Trump a clean bill of health Tuesday afternoon during the White House press briefing. Jackson…
- Missouri U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
- The stoning of Stephen Miller, now running the Trump White HouseFormer Trump senior advisor Jason Miller analyzes staff appointments, including Stephen Miller as chief of staff. He discusses border security and President Donald Trump's comments on working with Democrats. When Donald Trump made the…
- Newly elected progressives wary of backing Hakeem Jeffries for House speaker©2026 Fox News Network, LLC. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. All market data delayed 20 minutes. Newly elected progressives wary of backing Hakeem Jeffries for House speaker…
- Rep Erin Houchin makes her case for House Republican Conference chairRep. Erin Houchin, R-Ind., discusses her challenge against Rep. Lisa McClain, R-Mich., for House Republican Conference chair on 'Fox Report.' Rep Erin Houchin makes her case for House Republican Conference chair Rep. Erin Houchin, R-Ind…
- White House vows to keep up immigration crackdown after midterms defeatUS President Donald Trump's administration has vowed not to change course on its mass deportation plans after last week's midterm elections defeat. "This administration will not slow down its efforts to arrest and deport criminal illegal…
- Dana White heads to White House after Trump's press sec offer©2026 Fox News Network, LLC. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. All market data delayed 20 minutes. Dana White heads to White House after Trump's press sec offer UFC president…
- New House members say affordability, holding Trump administration accountable are top prioritiesNovember 8, 2026 / 5:23 PM EST / CBS News Newly elected House members arrived in Washington on Sunday for orientation, and freshman lawmakers on both sides of the aisle say they want to focus on lowering the cost of living for Americans…
- WATCH LIVE: President Trump travels back to the White House from Mar-a-LagoPresident Donald Trump returns to Washington, D.C. after spending the weekend in Florida. WATCH LIVE: President Trump travels back to the White House from Mar-a-Lago President Donald Trump returns to Washington, D.C. after spending the…
Related markets
All congress ›Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? (Before 2027)
90%Before Nov 14, 2026
- Before Nov 14, 202690%▲ 10
- Before Nov 21, 202690%▼ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202793%▼ 1
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
95%At least 22
2023
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
14.88%median
-100%100%
Median 14.88%Middle half 14.31% – 15.45%
Will a cabinet member be impeached? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
81%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202781%▲ 9
- Before Apr 1, 202792%▲ 13
- Before Jul 1, 202794%▲ 10
3 more
- Before Oct 1, 202794%▲ 5
- Before Jan 1, 202894%▲ 6
- Before Jan 20, 202994%▲ 1
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
36%chance▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions