CA-23 House winner?
97%Jay Obernolte
- Jay Obernolte97%
- Tessa Lynn Hodge2%▼ 1
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MN-05 House winner?
Settled Ilhan OmarA day before, traders gave it >99%.
The last odds before it closed
>99%Ilhan Omar
- ✓ Ilhan Omar>99%▲ 2
- DeVelle Jackson1%
- John Nagel<1%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Ilhan Omar: 93% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Ilhan Omar | >99% | 1.8M | ||||
| ✗ DeVelle Jackson | 1% | 124.9K | ||||
| ✗ John Nagel | <1% | 1.1M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Ilhan Omar, DeVelle Jackson
Search ›- 'I'm Glad This Process Is Complete': Rep. Ilhan Omar Ordered To Pay Thousands For Campaign Finance ViolationsJune 6, 2019 / 9:19 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota MINNEAPOLIS (WCCO) -- A state elections ethics board concluded Thursday that Democratic United States Representative Ilhan Omar misspent more than $3,400 of campaign money while serving in the…
- Ilhan Omar celebrates RECORD number of Muslims in CongressRep. Ilhan Omar celebrates Abdul El-Sayed’s election victory, pointing to the possibility that eight Muslims could soon serve in Congress. Ilhan Omar celebrates RECORD number of Muslims in Congress Rep. Ilhan Omar celebrates Abdul…
- Gregg Jarrett: Ilhan Omar’s re-election is ‘vindication of nothing’Fox News Gregg Jarrett: Ilhan Omar’s re-election is ‘vindication of nothing’ Fox News legal analyst Gregg Jarrett discusses the federal investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar's, D-Minn., finances and immigration documents following her…
- Ilhan Omar dances at victory party after winning 5th term in CongressIlhan Ilhan Omar dances at victory party after winning 5th term in Congress Fox News Ilhan Omar dances at victory party after winning 5th term in Congress Ilhan Omar breaks into a victory dance after securing a fifth term in Congress. The…
- Ilhan Omar Gets Biggest Election Win in 8 Years After ICE Raided Her HomeNov 04, 2026 at 08:42 AM EST House Democrat Ilhan Omar has pulled off her biggest electoral win since 2018 in Minnesota’s 5th congressional district less than a month after her Washington, D.C., home was raided by Homeland Security…
- Ilhan Omar wins re-election despite fraud investigationsFormer federal prosecutor Andrew Cherkasky discusses potential legal consequences for Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., following her reelection amid federal investigations into her immigration history. Ilhan Omar wins re-election despite fraud…
- Voters re-elect Ilhan Omar despite federal immigration, finance investigationsFox News Voters re-elect Ilhan Omar despite federal immigration, finance investigations 'The Faulkner Focus' zeroes in on Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar's re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives, which comes in spite of two federal…
- Opinion | The Trump administration’s vendetta against Ilhan Omar is even worse than it seemsWielding the power of law enforcement against political opponents is bad enough. But the Trump administration’s legal vendetta against Representative Ilhan Omar also reflects something more ominous: an ongoing effort to strip naturalized…
- Ilhan Omar lashes out at 'bigot' Trump after winning re-election despite investigationHouse Democrats stand by Rep. Ilhan Omar as federal authorities investigate her personal finances and immigration history. Chad Pergram reports on the growing political fallout and progressive calls to end the probe. After winning…
- ‘This is little Somalia now’: Sara Gonzales rips Ilhan Omar’s Somalian victory speechOmar's celebration included dancing with her Somalian supporters — and giving a speech entirely in Somalian. Ilhan Omar has won another term in Congress, but her victory celebration was anything but American. “Just to kind of underscore…
- Does Ilhan Omar Have Secret Siblings in London?Ilhan Omar has been hiding links to two of her siblings in London in an alleged bid to create further distance between her and rumored brother Ahmed Nur Said Elmi — whom she married in 2009. Multiple sources told The Post that Mohamed Nur…
- Ilhan Omar wins Minnesota's 5th Congressional District race, CBS News projectsNovember 3, 2026 / 11:08 PM CST / CBS Minnesota Incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar has secured a fifth term by defeating Republican nominee John Nagel in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District race Tuesday evening, CBS News…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions